Football · France Ligue 2 · 28/08, 20:00

Prediction: Montpellier vs Boulogne

Team pages: Montpellier · Boulogne

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Montpellier1.57
Boulogne0.62
1X2
59% 27% 13%
Montpellier Draw Boulogne
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Montpellier 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DDDWWLDDWW
Boulogne 0-5-5 (W-D-L)
DDDLLLLDLD
Head-to-head
Montpellier 0–2 Boulogne (2 last)
  • Boulogne1-0Montpellier
  • Montpellier1-3Boulogne
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montpellier (rating 1559 vs 1471).
  • H2H favours Boulogne: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MontpellierBoulogne
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.70.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.51.5 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.22.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Montpellier 002 Boulogne

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/01/26
France Ligue 2
Boulogne1-0
HT 0-0
Montpellier
23/09/25
France Ligue 2
Montpellier1-3
HT 0-1
Boulogne

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 St Etienne 3300 1019
2 Montpellier 3210 317
3 Rodez Aveyron 3201 856
4 Annecy 2200 306
5 Metz 3120 325
6 Red Star FC 93 3120 215
7 Dunkerque 3111 764
8 Nancy 3111 114
9 Laval 3111 454
10 Sochaux 3111 134
11 Guingamp 3102 233
12 Pau 3102 123
13 Reims 2020 332
14 Dijon 3021 232
15 Boulogne 3021 122
16 Clermont Foot 3021 242
17 Grenoble 3012 281
18 Nantes 3003 380

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMontpellierBoulogne
Dunkerque 1-0 W 2-6 L
Nancy 1-0 W 0-0 D
Red Star FC 93 1-1 D 1-1 D
Annecy 0-0 D 1-2 L
Troyes 2-2 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Montpellier (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montpellier

DDDWWLDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Dunkerque
France Ligue 2
0-0 1-0 75 W
14/08 Nancy
France Ligue 2
0-0 1-0 67 W
08/08 Dijon
France Ligue 2
0-0 1-1 45 D
09/05 Red Star FC 93
France Ligue 2
0-1 1-1 32 D
02/05 Clermont Foot
France Ligue 2
1-2 1-2 114 L
24/04 Amiens
France Ligue 2
1-0 2-0 74 W
17/04 Grenoble
France Ligue 2
1-0 2-1 42 W
10/04 Annecy
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-0 51 D
04/04 Troyes
France Ligue 2
2-1 2-2 54 D
20/03 Pau
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-0 34 D

Boulogne

DDDLLLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Red Star FC 93
France Ligue 2
0-1 1-1 38 D
14/08 Guingamp
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-1 43 L
08/08 Nancy
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-0 11 D
09/05 Laval
France Ligue 2
0-2 1-2 32 L
02/05 Annecy
France Ligue 2
0-1 1-2 42 L
27/04 Dunkerque
France Ligue 2
1-2 2-6 53 L
18/04 Troyes
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-1 12 L
11/04 Le Mans
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-0 20 D
04/04 Reims
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-0 32 D
20/03 Nancy
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-0 25 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montpellier vs Boulogne?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Montpellier win (59%). Probabilities: Montpellier 59%, draw 27%, Boulogne 13%.

How many goals are expected in Montpellier vs Boulogne?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Montpellier 1.57 · Boulogne 0.62), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Montpellier vs Boulogne?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.