Football · France Ligue 2 · 28/08, 20:00

Prediction: Rodez Aveyron vs Pau

Team pages: Rodez Aveyron · Pau

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Rodez Aveyron2.44
Pau1.01
1X2
68% 19% 13%
Rodez Aveyron Draw Pau
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rodez Aveyron 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWDWWWLW
Pau 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DLWWLLLLWL
Head-to-head
Rodez Aveyron 2–1–3 Pau (6 last)
  • Pau3-3Rodez Aveyron
  • Rodez Aveyron1-2Pau
  • Rodez Aveyron2-4Pau
  • Pau0-5Rodez Aveyron
  • Rodez Aveyron1-0Pau
  • Rodez Aveyron1-4Pau
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodez Aveyron (rating 1585 vs 1426).
  • H2H favours Pau: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Rodez AveyronPau
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.20.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.31.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.23.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rodez Aveyron 213 Pau

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/01/26
France Ligue 2
Pau3-3
HT 2-2
Rodez Aveyron
26/09/25
France Ligue 2
Rodez Aveyron1-2
HT 1-1
Pau
02/08/25
Europe Friendlies
Rodez Aveyron2-4
HT 1-1
Pau
14/02/25
France Ligue 2
Pau0-5
HT 0-2
Rodez Aveyron
06/12/24
France Ligue 2
Rodez Aveyron1-0
HT 0-0
Pau
03/08/24
Europe Friendlies
Rodez Aveyron1-4
HT 0-1
Pau

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 St Etienne 3300 1019
2 Montpellier 3210 317
3 Rodez Aveyron 3201 856
4 Annecy 2200 306
5 Metz 3120 325
6 Red Star FC 93 3120 215
7 Dunkerque 3111 764
8 Nancy 3111 114
9 Laval 3111 454
10 Sochaux 3111 134
11 Guingamp 3102 233
12 Pau 3102 123
13 Reims 2020 332
14 Dijon 3021 232
15 Boulogne 3021 122
16 Clermont Foot 3021 242
17 Grenoble 3012 281
18 Nantes 3003 380

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRodez AveyronPau
Annecy 0-2 L 0-1 L
Amiens 3-2 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pau (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rodez Aveyron

DDWWDWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Nantes
France Ligue 2
1-2 5-2 65 W
14/08 Annecy
France Ligue 2
0-1 0-2 72 L
08/08 Laval
France Ligue 2
0-0 3-1 83 W
09/05 Annecy
France Ligue 2
2-0 2-1 50 W
02/05 St Etienne
France Ligue 2
1-0 2-1 24 W
24/04 Laval
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-0 63 D
17/04 Amiens
France Ligue 2
1-2 3-2 75 W
13/04 Troyes
France Ligue 2
0-1 2-1 36 W
03/04 Dunkerque
France Ligue 2
1-0 1-1 05 D
20/03 SC Bastia
France Ligue 2
1-1 1-1 93 D

Pau

DLWWLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Nancy
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-1 55 L
14/08 Dijon
France Ligue 2
0-0 1-0 22 W
08/08 Annecy
France Ligue 2
0-1 0-1 64 L
09/05 Reims
France Ligue 2
2-2 3-5 33 L
02/05 Nancy
France Ligue 2
1-0 1-3 54 L
24/04 Annecy
France Ligue 2
0-3 1-5 31 L
17/04 Guingamp
France Ligue 2
0-1 2-1 74 W
10/04 Amiens
France Ligue 2
1-0 1-0 44 W
06/04 Le Mans
France Ligue 2
0-2 0-4 34 L
20/03 Montpellier
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-0 44 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rodez Aveyron vs Pau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rodez Aveyron win (68%). Probabilities: Rodez Aveyron 68%, draw 19%, Pau 13%.

How many goals are expected in Rodez Aveyron vs Pau?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Rodez Aveyron 2.44 · Pau 1.01), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rodez Aveyron vs Pau?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.