Prediction: Sochaux vs Guingamp
Team pages: Sochaux · Guingamp
- Guingamp2-2Sochaux
- Sochaux0-1Guingamp
- Guingamp1-2Sochaux
- Sochaux1-0Guingamp
- Guingamp1-2Sochaux
- Sochaux0-0Guingamp
| Sochaux | Draw | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sochaux (rating 1465 vs 1424).
- H2H favours Sochaux: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sochaux | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.4 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sochaux 3–2–1 Guingamp
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/25 France Cup | Guingamp | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Sochaux |
| 13/05/23 France Ligue 2 | Sochaux | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Guingamp |
| 30/08/22 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sochaux |
| 05/03/22 France Ligue 2 | Sochaux | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guingamp |
| 21/09/21 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Sochaux |
| 27/02/21 France Ligue 2 | Sochaux | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guingamp |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Annecy | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Dunkerque | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Metz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC 93 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Laval | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Reims | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Nancy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Sochaux | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sochaux | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star FC 93 | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Metz | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sochaux
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Auxerre Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Dijon Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Metz Club Friendly List |
0-3 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Grenoble Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Le Puy France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Chateauroux France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 24/04 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Guingamp
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Metz France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Brest Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Lorient Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Concarneau Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Rennes Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | SC Bastia France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sochaux vs Guingamp?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guingamp win (40%). Probabilities: Sochaux 30%, draw 30%, Guingamp 40%.
How many goals are expected in Sochaux vs Guingamp?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Sochaux 1.03 · Guingamp 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sochaux vs Guingamp?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.