Football · France Ligue 2 · 09/10, 20:00

Prediction: Dunkerque vs Annecy

Team pages: Dunkerque · Annecy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Dunkerque1.63

Annecy1.36

1X2

42% 27% 30%

Dunkerque Draw Annecy

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dunkerque 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLDWL

Annecy 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDWLL

Head-to-head

Dunkerque 1–1–4 Annecy (6 last)

Dunkerque0-1Annecy
Annecy2-2Dunkerque
Annecy0-2Dunkerque
Dunkerque0-2Annecy
Dunkerque0-2Annecy
Annecy3-0Dunkerque

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunkerque 1489 · Annecy 1502

	Dunkerque	Draw	Annecy
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Annecy: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dunkerque	Annecy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.23
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.51 ★
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.11

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:47	2.15	3.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +333’	2.23	3.51	3.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunkerque 1–1–4 Annecy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 France Ligue 2	Dunkerque	0-1 HT 0-1	Annecy
16/08/25 France Ligue 2	Annecy	2-2 HT 2-1	Dunkerque
27/01/25 France Ligue 2	Annecy	0-2 HT 0-1	Dunkerque
16/08/24 France Ligue 2	Dunkerque	0-2 HT 0-0	Annecy
30/03/24 France Ligue 2	Dunkerque	0-2 HT 0-0	Annecy
19/08/23 France Ligue 2	Annecy	3-0 HT 0-0	Dunkerque

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	16
2	Red Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	9
10	Pau	7	2	2	3	6	6	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
11	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
14	Rodez Aveyron	7	2	1	4	14	16	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dunkerque	Annecy
Pau	0-2 L	1-0 W
Reims	3-3 D	1-3 L
Grenoble	4-2 W	2-1 W
Boulogne	6-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dunkerque (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunkerque

WLLWDLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Pau France Ligue 2	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
12/09	St Etienne France Ligue 2	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
04/09	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
28/08	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
21/08	Montpellier France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
14/08	Reims France Ligue 2	1-1	3-3	9	7	D
08/08	Grenoble France Ligue 2	1-1	4-2	10	4	W
09/05	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-2	2-3	5	2	L
02/05	Grenoble France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
27/04	Boulogne France Ligue 2	2-1	6-2	3	3	W

Annecy

WWLWWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Dijon France Ligue 2	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Guingamp France Ligue 2	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
04/09	Grenoble France Ligue 2	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
29/08	Metz France Ligue 2	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
24/08	Reims France Ligue 2	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
14/08	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
08/08	Pau France Ligue 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/05	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	0-2	1-2	9	0	L
02/05	Boulogne France Ligue 2	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
24/04	Pau France Ligue 2	3-0	5-1	1	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunkerque vs Annecy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunkerque win (42%). Probabilities: Dunkerque 42%, draw 27%, Annecy 30%.

How many goals are expected in Dunkerque vs Annecy?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Dunkerque 1.63 · Annecy 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunkerque vs Annecy?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.