Football · France Ligue 2 · 16/10, 20:00
Prediction: Guingamp vs Pau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Guingamp1.53
Pau1.33
1X2
Guingamp
Draw
Pau
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Guingamp
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Pau
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guingamp
3–1–2
Pau
(6 last)
- Pau2-1Guingamp
- Guingamp2-2Pau
- Pau1-3Guingamp
- Guingamp0-1Pau
- Pau1-2Guingamp
- Guingamp4-0Pau
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Guingamp: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guingamp | Pau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guingamp 3–1–2 Pau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 France Ligue 2 | Pau | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Guingamp |
| 08/11/25 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Pau |
| 10/05/25 France Ligue 2 | Pau | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Guingamp |
| 18/10/24 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Pau |
| 27/04/24 France Ligue 2 | Pau | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Guingamp |
| 26/08/23 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Pau |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | Red Star FC 93 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Reims | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Nancy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Annecy | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 7 | Pau | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Sochaux | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Metz | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Dijon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodez Aveyron | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Laval | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guingamp | Pau |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Annecy | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Reims | 2-2 D | 3-5 L |
| Sochaux | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Guingamp (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guingamp
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Nantes France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Sochaux France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 14/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Metz France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | SC Bastia France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
Pau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | Montpellier France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Sochaux France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guingamp vs Pau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guingamp win (41%). Probabilities: Guingamp 41%, draw 27%, Pau 32%.
How many goals are expected in Guingamp vs Pau?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Guingamp 1.53 · Pau 1.33), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Guingamp vs Pau?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.