Prediction: Montpellier vs Grenoble
Team pages: Montpellier · Grenoble
- Montpellier2-1Grenoble
- Grenoble1-1Montpellier
| Montpellier | Draw | Grenoble | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montpellier (rating 1557 vs 1499).
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montpellier | Grenoble | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montpellier 1–1–0 Grenoble
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 France Ligue 2 | Montpellier | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Grenoble |
| 13/12/25 France Ligue 2 | Grenoble | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Montpellier |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Red Star FC 93 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Reims | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Metz | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Nancy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Annecy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Sochaux | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Pau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez Aveyron | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| 18 | Laval | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montpellier | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| St Etienne | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Dunkerque | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Clermont Foot | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Montpellier (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montpellier
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/09 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Amiens France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Grenoble
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 14/08 | Metz France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Troyes France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Le Mans France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montpellier vs Grenoble?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montpellier win (55%). Probabilities: Montpellier 55%, draw 27%, Grenoble 18%.
How many goals are expected in Montpellier vs Grenoble?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Montpellier 1.59 · Grenoble 0.8), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Montpellier vs Grenoble?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.