Prediction: Nancy vs Guingamp
- Nancy0-3Guingamp
- Guingamp2-2Nancy
- Guingamp3-1Nancy
- Nancy2-1Guingamp
- Guingamp0-0Nancy
- Nancy2-2Guingamp
| Nancy | Draw | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nancy (rating 1497 vs 1446).
- H2H favours Guingamp: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nancy | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.7 | 1.5 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nancy 1–3–2 Guingamp
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/26 France Ligue 2 | Nancy | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Guingamp |
| 03/10/25 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Nancy |
| 19/03/22 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Nancy |
| 16/10/21 France Ligue 2 | Nancy | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Guingamp |
| 16/01/21 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nancy |
| 29/08/20 France Ligue 2 | Nancy | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Guingamp |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Red Star FC 93 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Reims | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Metz | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Nancy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Annecy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Sochaux | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Dijon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 10 | Pau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | Rodez Aveyron | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | Boulogne | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| 18 | Laval | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nancy | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Reims | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Nantes | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Boulogne | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Guingamp (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nancy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Nantes France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Montpellier France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 10 | D |
Guingamp
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Nantes France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Sochaux France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 14/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Metz France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | SC Bastia France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nancy vs Guingamp?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nancy win (42%). Probabilities: Nancy 42%, draw 28%, Guingamp 30%.
How many goals are expected in Nancy vs Guingamp?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Nancy 1.56 · Guingamp 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nancy vs Guingamp?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.