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Football · France Ligue 2 · 09/10, 20:00

Prediction: Pau vs Laval

Team pages: Pau · Laval

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Pau1.52
Laval1.17
1X2
44% 28% 28%
Pau Draw Laval
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Pau 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLWLDDLW
Laval 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLWLWDLLLD
Head-to-head
Pau 3–2–1 Laval (6 last)
  • Laval0-1Pau
  • Pau1-0Laval
  • Pau1-1Laval
  • Laval3-1Pau
  • Pau3-0Laval
  • Laval1-1Pau
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pau 1449 · Laval 1453
PauDrawLaval
Our model44%28%28%
Market44%29%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Pau: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PauLaval
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.91 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.70.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.43.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.33.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pau 3–2–1 Laval

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/01/26
France Ligue 2
Laval0-1
HT 0-1
Pau
23/09/25
France Ligue 2
Pau1-0
HT 0-0
Laval
31/01/25
France Ligue 2
Pau1-1
HT 0-0
Laval
27/09/24
France Ligue 2
Laval3-1
HT 2-0
Pau
20/04/24
France Ligue 2
Pau3-0
HT 2-0
Laval
16/12/23
France Ligue 2
Laval1-1
HT 0-0
Pau

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 St Etienne 7511 19816
2 Red Star FC 93 7421 9714
3 Reims 7340 15913
4 Montpellier 7331 6512
5 Metz 7241 10710
6 Nancy 7313 8710
7 Annecy 7313 9910
8 Sochaux 7241 4510
9 Dijon 7232 10109
10 Pau 7223 668
11 Guingamp 7223 10128
11 Dunkerque 7223 10128
13 Grenoble 7223 8118
14 Rodez Aveyron 7214 14167
15 Nantes 7214 9137
16 Clermont Foot 7061 466
17 Boulogne 7052 355
18 Laval 7124 8145

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPauLaval
Sochaux 1-1 D 1-1 D
Rodez Aveyron 2-2 D 1-3 L
Dijon 1-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pau (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pau

LLLLWLDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Dunkerque
France Ligue 2
 0-0 2-0 65 W
11/09 Montpellier
France Ligue 2
 0-0 0-1 35 L
04/09 Sochaux
France Ligue 2
 1-0 1-1 84 D
28/08 Rodez Aveyron
France Ligue 2
 2-1 2-2 34 D
21/08 Nancy
France Ligue 2
 0-0 0-1 55 L
14/08 Dijon
France Ligue 2
 0-0 1-0 22 W
08/08 Annecy
France Ligue 2
 0-1 0-1 64 L
09/05 Reims
France Ligue 2
 2-2 3-5 33 L
02/05 Nancy
France Ligue 2
 1-0 1-3 54 L
24/04 Annecy
France Ligue 2
 0-3 1-5 31 L

Laval

DLWLWDLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 Sochaux
France Ligue 2
 0-0 1-1 66 D
11/09 Dijon
France Ligue 2
 1-2 2-3 74 L
04/09 Red Star FC 93
France Ligue 2
 0-2 1-2 57 L
28/08 Grenoble
France Ligue 2
 0-2 0-3 85 L
22/08 Metz
France Ligue 2
 0-0 1-1 75 D
14/08 Nantes
France Ligue 2
 1-1 2-1 20 W
08/08 Rodez Aveyron
France Ligue 2
 0-0 1-3 43 L
09/05 Boulogne
France Ligue 2
 2-0 2-1 112 W
02/05 Troyes
France Ligue 2
 0-2 0-4 32 L
24/04 Rodez Aveyron
France Ligue 2
 0-0 0-0 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pau vs Laval?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pau win (44%). Probabilities: Pau 44%, draw 28%, Laval 28%.

How many goals are expected in Pau vs Laval?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Pau 1.52 · Laval 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pau vs Laval?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.