Football · North Macedonia First League · 04/09, 19:00
Prediction: Shkendija Tetovo vs Tikves Kavadarci
Team pages: Shkendija Tetovo · Tikves Kavadarci
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Shkendija Tetovo2.32
Tikves Kavadarci0.9
1X2
Shkendija Tetovo
Draw
Tikves Kavadarci
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Shkendija Tetovo
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Tikves Kavadarci
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shkendija Tetovo
6–0
Tikves Kavadarci
(6 last)
- Tikves Kavadarci1-4Shkendija Tetovo
- Tikves Kavadarci1-4Shkendija Tetovo
- Shkendija Tetovo2-0Tikves Kavadarci
- Shkendija Tetovo1-0Tikves Kavadarci
- Tikves Kavadarci0-1Shkendija Tetovo
- Shkendija Tetovo1-0Tikves Kavadarci
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shkendija Tetovo 1599 · Tikves Kavadarci 1501
| Shkendija Tetovo | Draw | Tikves Kavadarci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 19% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shkendija Tetovo (rating 1599 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Shkendija Tetovo: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shkendija Tetovo | Tikves Kavadarci | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.1 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shkendija Tetovo 6–0–0 Tikves Kavadarci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 North Macedonia First League | Tikves Kavadarci | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Shkendija Tetovo |
| 14/02/26 North Macedonia First League | Tikves Kavadarci | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Shkendija Tetovo |
| 19/11/25 North Macedonia Cup | Shkendija Tetovo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tikves Kavadarci |
| 21/09/25 North Macedonia First League | Shkendija Tetovo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tikves Kavadarci |
| 06/04/25 North Macedonia First League | Tikves Kavadarci | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shkendija Tetovo |
| 02/03/25 North Macedonia First League | Shkendija Tetovo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tikves Kavadarci |
Standings · North Macedonia First League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija Tetovo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | FC Struga Trim & Lum | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Tikves Kavadarci | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Vardar Skopje | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | KF Arsimi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| 6 | KF Shkendija Haracine | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | FK Sileks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | Bregalnica Stip | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | FK Skopje | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | KF Bashkimi | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shkendija Tetovo | Tikves Kavadarci |
|---|---|---|
| Vardar Skopje | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Skopje | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| KF Bashkimi | 2-3 L | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Shkendija Tetovo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shkendija Tetovo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | FK Sileks North Macedonia First League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Bregalnica Stip North Macedonia First League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | FK Skopje North Macedonia First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 15/05 | AP Brera Strumica North Macedonia First League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | FK Sileks North Macedonia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/04 | KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Tikves Kavadarci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | FK Skopje North Macedonia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League |
4-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Rabotnicki Skopje North Macedonia First League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Pelister Bitola North Macedonia First League |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Makedonija Gj. P North Macedonia First League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League |
0-4 | 0-7 | 1 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shkendija Tetovo vs Tikves Kavadarci?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shkendija Tetovo win (69%). Probabilities: Shkendija Tetovo 69%, draw 19%, Tikves Kavadarci 12%.
How many goals are expected in Shkendija Tetovo vs Tikves Kavadarci?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Shkendija Tetovo 2.32 · Tikves Kavadarci 0.9), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shkendija Tetovo vs Tikves Kavadarci?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.