Football · North Macedonia First League · 02/11, 14:00

Prediction: Vardar Skopje vs FC Struga Trim & Lum

Team pages: Vardar Skopje · FC Struga Trim & Lum

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Vardar Skopje1.59

FC Struga Trim & Lum0.93

1X2

52% 26% 21%

Vardar Skopje Draw FC Struga Trim & Lum

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Vardar Skopje 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDWWWD

FC Struga Trim & Lum 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDWLWW

Head-to-head

Vardar Skopje 2–3–1 FC Struga Trim & Lum (6 last)

FC Struga Trim & Lum1-0Vardar Skopje
FC Struga Trim & Lum0-1Vardar Skopje
FC Struga Trim & Lum1-1Vardar Skopje
Vardar Skopje2-2FC Struga Trim & Lum
Vardar Skopje2-0FC Struga Trim & Lum
Vardar Skopje0-0FC Struga Trim & Lum

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vardar Skopje 1556 · FC Struga Trim & Lum 1574

	Vardar Skopje	Draw	FC Struga Trim & Lum
Our model	52%	28%	21%
Market	53%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vardar Skopje: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vardar Skopje	FC Struga Trim & Lum
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	2.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5	3.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.50

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	3.40 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:59 +24’	1.90	3.40	3.40
22:17 +4’	1.70▼	3.50▲	4.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vardar Skopje 2–3–1 FC Struga Trim & Lum

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 North Macedonia First League	FC Struga Trim & Lum	1-0 HT 0-0	Vardar Skopje
15/05/26 North Macedonia First League	FC Struga Trim & Lum	0-1 HT 0-1	Vardar Skopje
28/02/26 North Macedonia First League	FC Struga Trim & Lum	1-1 HT 0-1	Vardar Skopje
05/10/25 North Macedonia First League	Vardar Skopje	2-2 HT 0-1	FC Struga Trim & Lum
21/05/25 North Macedonia Cup	Vardar Skopje	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Struga Trim & Lum
06/05/25 North Macedonia First League	Vardar Skopje	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Struga Trim & Lum

Standings · North Macedonia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shkendija Tetovo	11	7	3	1	24	10	24
2	FC Struga Trim & Lum	11	7	2	2	26	7	23
3	Tikves Kavadarci	12	5	6	1	25	10	21
4	Vardar Skopje	11	6	3	2	17	9	21
5	FK Sileks	11	4	4	3	19	11	16
6	KF Shkendija Haracine	12	4	3	5	8	15	15
7	Bregalnica Stip	11	4	1	6	15	20	13
8	KF Arsimi	11	2	4	5	11	25	10
9	KF Bashkimi	11	2	1	8	10	32	7
10	FK Skopje	11	0	3	8	5	21	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vardar Skopje	FC Struga Trim & Lum
Shkendija Tetovo	0-0 D	1-2 L
Bregalnica Stip	1-0 W	4-0 W
FK Skopje	2-1 W	4-0 W
KF Shkendija Haracine	2-0 W	2-0 W
KF Bashkimi	3-3 D	1-2 L
KF Arsimi	2-0 W	6-0 W
Tikves Kavadarci	1-1 D	2-2 D
FK Sileks	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vardar Skopje

LLWDWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
17/10	Bregalnica Stip North Macedonia First League	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
11/10	FK Skopje North Macedonia First League	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
19/09	KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League	0-0	2-0	6	8	W
12/09	KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League	1-2	3-3	4	5	D
07/09	KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
31/08	Tikves Kavadarci North Macedonia First League	1-1	1-1	1	4	D
24/08	FK Sileks North Macedonia First League	1-1	4-1	0	3	W
16/08	FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
09/08	Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-2	8	5	L

FC Struga Trim & Lum

DWLWWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Skopje North Macedonia First League	3-0	4-0	9	0	W
17/10	KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
12/10	KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
21/09	KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League	0-0	6-0	6	4	W
11/09	Tikves Kavadarci North Macedonia First League	2-1	2-2	3	3	D
07/09	FK Sileks North Macedonia First League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
28/08	Bregalnica Stip North Macedonia First League	1-0	4-0	2	3	W
24/08	Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
16/08	Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
09/08	FK Skopje North Macedonia First League	0-0	1-1	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vardar Skopje vs FC Struga Trim & Lum?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vardar Skopje win (52%). Probabilities: Vardar Skopje 52%, draw 26%, FC Struga Trim & Lum 21%.

How many goals are expected in Vardar Skopje vs FC Struga Trim & Lum?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Vardar Skopje 1.59 · FC Struga Trim & Lum 0.93), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vardar Skopje vs FC Struga Trim & Lum?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.