Football · North Macedonia First League · 06/11, 13:00

Prediction: Tikves Kavadarci vs FK Skopje

Team pages: Tikves Kavadarci · FK Skopje

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Tikves Kavadarci2.33

FK Skopje0.62

1X2

76% 16% 8%

Tikves Kavadarci Draw FK Skopje

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Tikves Kavadarci 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

LDDWDDWDWD

FK Skopje 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Tikves Kavadarci 4–2–0 FK Skopje (6 last)

FK Skopje1-1Tikves Kavadarci
FK Skopje0-1Tikves Kavadarci
Tikves Kavadarci4-0FK Skopje
FK Skopje0-0Tikves Kavadarci
Tikves Kavadarci2-0FK Skopje
FK Skopje1-2Tikves Kavadarci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tikves Kavadarci 1573 · FK Skopje 1429

	Tikves Kavadarci	Draw	FK Skopje
Our model	75%	18%	7%
Market	77%	14%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tikves Kavadarci (rating 1573 vs 1429).
H2H favours Tikves Kavadarci: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tikves Kavadarci	FK Skopje
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	0.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.7	1.2 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.25

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.90

2 (+2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:00 +2’	1.18	6.25	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tikves Kavadarci 4–2–0 FK Skopje

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 North Macedonia First League	FK Skopje	1-1 HT 1-0	Tikves Kavadarci
10/09/25 North Macedonia Cup	FK Skopje	0-1 HT 0-0	Tikves Kavadarci
10/05/23 North Macedonia First League	Tikves Kavadarci	4-0 HT 0-0	FK Skopje
26/02/23 North Macedonia First League	FK Skopje	0-0 HT 0-0	Tikves Kavadarci
02/10/22 North Macedonia First League	Tikves Kavadarci	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Skopje
17/04/22 North Macedonia First League	FK Skopje	1-2 HT 1-0	Tikves Kavadarci

Standings · North Macedonia First League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shkendija Tetovo	12	8	3	1	26	11	27
2	FC Struga Trim & Lum	12	8	2	2	27	7	26
3	Tikves Kavadarci	12	5	6	1	25	10	21
4	Vardar Skopje	12	6	3	3	17	10	21
5	FK Sileks	12	4	5	3	19	11	17
6	KF Shkendija Haracine	12	4	3	5	8	15	15
7	Bregalnica Stip	12	4	1	7	16	22	13
8	KF Arsimi	12	2	4	6	12	27	10
9	KF Bashkimi	12	3	1	8	12	33	10
10	FK Skopje	12	0	4	8	5	21	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tikves Kavadarci	FK Skopje
KF Shkendija Haracine	1-1 D	0-1 L
KF Bashkimi	3-1 W	1-2 L
KF Arsimi	1-1 D	0-0 D
Bregalnica Stip	3-0 W	0-1 L
FK Sileks	0-0 D	0-0 D
FC Struga Trim & Lum	2-2 D	0-4 L
Shkendija Tetovo	3-1 W	1-3 L
Vardar Skopje	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Tikves Kavadarci (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tikves Kavadarci

LDDWDDWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
25/10	KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League	0-0	3-1	9	1	W
19/10	KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
10/10	Bregalnica Stip North Macedonia First League	2-0	3-0	3	4	W
18/09	FK Sileks North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
11/09	FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League	1-2	2-2	6	3	D
04/09	Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League	1-0	3-1	2	6	W
31/08	Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
21/08	FK Skopje North Macedonia First League	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
15/08	KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League	0-1	0-1	1	8	L

FK Skopje

LDDLLLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	FK Sileks North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
24/10	FC Struga Trim & Lum North Macedonia First League	0-3	0-4	4	0	L
18/10	Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League	1-2	1-3	7	5	L
11/10	Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
23/09	Bregalnica Stip North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-1	0	9	L
14/09	KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
05/09	KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League	0-1	1-2	7	10	L
29/08	KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
21/08	Tikves Kavadarci North Macedonia First League	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
15/08	FK Sileks North Macedonia First League	0-0	0-3	0	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tikves Kavadarci vs FK Skopje?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tikves Kavadarci win (76%). Probabilities: Tikves Kavadarci 76%, draw 16%, FK Skopje 8%.

How many goals are expected in Tikves Kavadarci vs FK Skopje?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Tikves Kavadarci 2.33 · FK Skopje 0.62), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tikves Kavadarci vs FK Skopje?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.