Football · Denmark Division 1 · 04/09, 19:00
Prediction: HB Køge vs Hillerød
Team pages: HB Køge · Hillerød
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
HB Køge1.31
Hillerød1.46
1X2
HB Køge
Draw
Hillerød
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
HB Køge
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Hillerød
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HB Køge
0–1–5
Hillerød
(6 last)
- HB Køge1-1Hillerød
- Hillerød3-1HB Køge
- Hillerød3-0HB Køge
- HB Køge0-2Hillerød
- HB Køge1-5Hillerød
- Hillerød4-2HB Køge
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hillerød (rating 1421 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Hillerød: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HB Køge | Hillerød | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Køge 0–1–5 Hillerød
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/25 Denmark Division 1 | HB Køge | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hillerød |
| 23/08/25 Denmark Division 1 | Hillerød | 3-1 HT 3-0 | HB Køge |
| 25/04/25 Denmark Division 1 | Hillerød | 3-0 HT 2-0 | HB Køge |
| 13/04/25 Denmark Division 1 | HB Køge | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Hillerød |
| 02/12/24 Denmark Division 1 | HB Køge | 1-5 HT 1-1 | Hillerød |
| 16/08/24 Denmark Division 1 | Hillerød | 4-2 HT 2-1 | HB Køge |
Standings · Denmark Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vejle | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 14 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Hobro IK | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | FC Fredericia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Vendsyssel FF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 7 | AaB | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | AB Copenhagen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Kolding IF | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 | Hillerød | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 4 |
| 11 | Esbjerg | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| 12 | HB Køge | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HB Køge | Hillerød |
|---|---|---|
| AaB | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Kolding IF | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Hvidovre IF | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Aarhus Fremad | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Vejle | 0-2 L | 4-5 L |
| Hobro IK | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hillerød (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HB Køge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Vejle Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Middelfart Denmark Division 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
Hillerød
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/08 | Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Vejle Denmark Division 1 |
2-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 24/07 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | AC Horsens Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HB Køge vs Hillerød?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hillerød win (40%). Probabilities: HB Køge 33%, draw 28%, Hillerød 40%.
How many goals are expected in HB Køge vs Hillerød?
The model expects 2.76 goals (HB Køge 1.31 · Hillerød 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HB Køge vs Hillerød?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.