Football · Denmark Division 1 · 10/10, 13:30
Prediction: Esbjerg vs AaB
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Esbjerg1.54
AaB1.38
1X2
Esbjerg
Draw
AaB
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Esbjerg
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
AaB
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Esbjerg
2–3–1
AaB
(6 last)
- AaB1-1Esbjerg
- Esbjerg1-0AaB
- Esbjerg0-2AaB
- AaB0-0Esbjerg
- Esbjerg2-1AaB
- Esbjerg1-1AaB
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Esbjerg: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Esbjerg | AaB | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.8 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Esbjerg 2–3–1 AaB
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Denmark Division 1 | AaB | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Esbjerg |
| 19/08/25 Denmark Division 1 | Esbjerg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AaB |
| 30/10/24 Denmark Cup | Esbjerg | 0-2 HT 0-1 | AaB |
| 30/06/21 Europe Friendlies | AaB | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Esbjerg |
| 19/08/20 Europe Friendlies | Esbjerg | 2-1 HT 2-0 | AaB |
| 31/05/20 Denmark Superligaen | Esbjerg | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AaB |
Standings · Denmark Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre IF | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Vejle | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Aarhus Fremad | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | AaB | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Hobro IK | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 13 |
| 7 | Vendsyssel FF | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 8 | AB Copenhagen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Hillerød | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 10 | Kolding IF | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | HB Køge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 7 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Esbjerg | AaB |
|---|---|---|
| AB Copenhagen | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| HB Køge | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Fredericia | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Vendsyssel FF | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Hobro IK | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Hvidovre IF | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Hillerød | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Kolding IF | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: AaB (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Esbjerg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Vejle Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Lyngby Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
AaB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/08 | FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 31/07 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 24/07 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Esbjerg vs AaB?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Esbjerg win (40%). Probabilities: Esbjerg 40%, draw 27%, AaB 33%.
How many goals are expected in Esbjerg vs AaB?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Esbjerg 1.54 · AaB 1.38), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Esbjerg vs AaB?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.