Football · Denmark Division 1 · 16/10, 19:00
Prediction: HB Køge vs AB Copenhagen
Team pages: HB Køge · AB Copenhagen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
HB Køge1.58
AB Copenhagen1.53
1X2
HB Køge
Draw
AB Copenhagen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
HB Køge
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
AB Copenhagen
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HB Køge
2–3–1
AB Copenhagen
(6 last)
- HB Køge3-3AB Copenhagen
- HB Køge0-0AB Copenhagen
- HB Køge0-0AB Copenhagen
- AB Copenhagen2-1HB Køge
- HB Køge1-0AB Copenhagen
- HB Køge3-0AB Copenhagen
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AB Copenhagen (rating 1474 vs 1522).
- H2H favours HB Køge: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HB Køge | AB Copenhagen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Køge 2–3–1 AB Copenhagen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Europe Friendlies | HB Køge | 3-3 HT 2-0 | AB Copenhagen |
| 17/01/25 Europe Friendlies | HB Køge | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AB Copenhagen |
| 05/04/17 Denmark Division 1 | HB Køge | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AB Copenhagen |
| 23/10/16 Denmark Division 1 | AB Copenhagen | 2-1 HT 2-0 | HB Køge |
| 18/09/16 Denmark Division 1 | HB Køge | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AB Copenhagen |
| 19/04/15 Denmark Division 1 | HB Køge | 3-0 HT 1-0 | AB Copenhagen |
Standings · Denmark Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre IF | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Vejle | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Fredericia | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | AaB | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 5 | Hobro IK | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 14 |
| 6 | Aarhus Fremad | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | AB Copenhagen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Vendsyssel FF | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 9 | Kolding IF | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 10 | Hillerød | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
| 11 | HB Køge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 7 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HB Køge | AB Copenhagen |
|---|---|---|
| Vendsyssel FF | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Hobro IK | 5-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Esbjerg | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Hillerød | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| AaB | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Kolding IF | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Hvidovre IF | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Aarhus Fremad | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Vejle | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| FC Fredericia | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: AB Copenhagen (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HB Køge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/09 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 04/09 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Vejle Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
AB Copenhagen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 24/07 | Vejle Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HB Køge vs AB Copenhagen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HB Køge win (38%). Probabilities: HB Køge 38%, draw 26%, AB Copenhagen 36%.
How many goals are expected in HB Køge vs AB Copenhagen?
The model expects 3.12 goals (HB Køge 1.58 · AB Copenhagen 1.53), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in HB Køge vs AB Copenhagen?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.