Football · Denmark Division 1 · 17/10, 18:30

Prediction: FC Fredericia vs Hobro IK

Team pages: FC Fredericia · Hobro IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

FC Fredericia1.89

Hobro IK1.01

1X2

57% 24% 19%

FC Fredericia Draw Hobro IK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Fredericia 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWDLWDDW

Hobro IK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLDLD

Head-to-head

FC Fredericia 3–1–2 Hobro IK (6 last)

Hobro IK1-4FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia1-1Hobro IK
FC Fredericia0-1Hobro IK
Hobro IK1-2FC Fredericia
Hobro IK0-2FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia0-2Hobro IK

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Fredericia (rating 1548 vs 1470).
H2H favours FC Fredericia: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Fredericia	Hobro IK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.6	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 7.5	3.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 31.96

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.43 → 1.38▼	Pinn 1.38
X	5.06 → 5.29▲	Pinn 5.29
2	5.84 → 6.47▲	Pinn 6.47

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:05 +200’	1.43	5.06	5.84
21:33 +5’	1.38▼	5.29▲	6.47▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fredericia 3–1–2 Hobro IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/10/24 Denmark Division 1	Hobro IK	1-4 HT 1-1	FC Fredericia
16/09/24 Denmark Division 1	FC Fredericia	1-1 HT 0-0	Hobro IK
02/06/24 Denmark Division 1	FC Fredericia	0-1 HT 0-0	Hobro IK
20/04/24 Denmark Division 1	Hobro IK	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Fredericia
25/02/24 Denmark Division 1	Hobro IK	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Fredericia
23/07/23 Denmark Division 1	FC Fredericia	0-2 HT 0-1	Hobro IK

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hvidovre IF	10	7	3	0	20	10	24
2	Vejle	10	5	4	1	23	15	19
3	FC Fredericia	10	4	5	1	14	6	17
4	AaB	10	3	5	2	14	14	14
5	Hobro IK	10	4	2	4	13	17	14
6	Aarhus Fremad	10	3	4	3	10	11	13
7	AB Copenhagen	10	3	3	4	13	10	12
8	Vendsyssel FF	9	2	4	3	10	14	10
9	Kolding IF	10	1	6	3	11	13	9
10	Hillerød	10	2	3	5	13	16	9
11	HB Køge	9	1	4	4	11	17	7
12	Esbjerg	10	1	3	6	13	22	6

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Fredericia	Hobro IK
Hillerød	2-0 W	1-3 L
Vejle	2-2 D	0-0 D
Kolding IF	0-0 D	1-1 D
Esbjerg	1-0 W	2-1 W
Hvidovre IF	1-2 L	1-3 L
Aarhus Fremad	0-0 D	1-2 L
AaB	3-0 W	2-1 W
Vendsyssel FF	1-1 D	2-1 W
AB Copenhagen	1-1 D	1-0 W
HB Køge	3-0 W	2-5 L
Record vs common	4 W 5 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Fredericia (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Fredericia

WDDWDLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hillerød Denmark Division 1	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
20/09	Vejle Denmark Division 1	1-1	2-2	0	2	D
12/09	Kolding IF Denmark Division 1	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
05/09	Esbjerg Denmark Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
30/08	Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-2	10	4	L
21/08	Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
14/08	AaB Denmark Division 1	0-0	3-0	6	1	W
09/08	Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1	0-1	1-1	11	3	D
31/07	AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
25/07	HB Køge Denmark Division 1	0-0	3-0	9	1	W

Hobro IK

LWWWWLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Kolding IF Denmark Division 1	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
21/09	HB Køge Denmark Division 1	1-1	2-5	2	1	L
11/09	Vejle Denmark Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
04/09	Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1	0-1	1-3	4	5	L
30/08	Hillerød Denmark Division 1	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
21/08	AaB Denmark Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
15/08	Esbjerg Denmark Division 1	0-0	2-1	14	5	W
08/08	AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 1	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
02/08	Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 1	2-1	2-1	3	6	W
26/07	Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1	1-2	1-2	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Fredericia vs Hobro IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Fredericia win (57%). Probabilities: FC Fredericia 57%, draw 24%, Hobro IK 19%.

How many goals are expected in FC Fredericia vs Hobro IK?

The model expects 2.9 goals (FC Fredericia 1.89 · Hobro IK 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Fredericia vs Hobro IK?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.