Football · North Macedonia First League · 09/08, 17:00
Prediction: FK Skopje vs FC Struga Trim & Lum
Team pages: FK Skopje · FC Struga Trim & Lum
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
FK Skopje0.93
FC Struga Trim & Lum1.82
1X2
FK Skopje
Draw
FC Struga Trim & Lum
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Skopje
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
FC Struga Trim & Lum
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Skopje
1–2–3
FC Struga Trim & Lum
(6 last)
- FK Skopje1-1FC Struga Trim & Lum
- FK Skopje1-1FC Struga Trim & Lum
- FC Struga Trim & Lum3-0FK Skopje
- FC Struga Trim & Lum1-0FK Skopje
- FK Skopje1-0FC Struga Trim & Lum
- FC Struga Trim & Lum1-0FK Skopje
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Skopje 1581 · FC Struga Trim & Lum 1500
| FK Skopje | Draw | FC Struga Trim & Lum | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 23% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Skopje (rating 1581 vs 1500).
- H2H favours FC Struga Trim & Lum: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Skopje | FC Struga Trim & Lum | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.6 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 1.4 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Skopje 1–2–3 FC Struga Trim & Lum
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/23 North Macedonia First League | FK Skopje | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Struga Trim & Lum |
| 11/12/22 North Macedonia First League | FK Skopje | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Struga Trim & Lum |
| 11/09/22 North Macedonia First League | FC Struga Trim & Lum | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Skopje |
| 10/04/22 North Macedonia First League | FC Struga Trim & Lum | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Skopje |
| 08/12/21 North Macedonia First League | FK Skopje | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Struga Trim & Lum |
| 12/09/21 North Macedonia First League | FC Struga Trim & Lum | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Skopje |
Standings · North Macedonia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Sileks | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Tikves Kavadarci | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Struga Trim & Lum | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Shkendija Tetovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Vardar Skopje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | KF Shkendija Haracine | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 7 | Bregalnica Stip | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | FK Skopje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | KF Arsimi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 | KF Bashkimi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Skopje | FC Struga Trim & Lum |
|---|---|---|
| Shkendija Tetovo | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| AP Brera Strumica | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Skopje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | AP Brera Strumica North Macedonia First League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Detonit Plackovica North Macedonia Second League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Golemo Konjari North Macedonia Second League |
– | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Teteks Tetovo North Macedonia Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Ohrid North Macedonia Second League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | FK Prespa North Macedonia Second League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | FK Sasa North Macedonia Second League |
3-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Novaci North Macedonia Second League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Bregalnica Stip North Macedonia Second League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
FC Struga Trim & Lum
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | KF Shkendija Haracine North Macedonia First League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 08/07 | KF Arsimi Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/07 | FC Dinamo City Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | FC Dinamo City Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | KF Arsimi North Macedonia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Vardar Skopje North Macedonia First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Shkendija Tetovo North Macedonia First League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | AP Brera Strumica North Macedonia First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | FK Sileks North Macedonia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | KF Bashkimi North Macedonia First League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Skopje vs FC Struga Trim & Lum?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Struga Trim & Lum win (58%). Probabilities: FK Skopje 18%, draw 24%, FC Struga Trim & Lum 58%.
How many goals are expected in FK Skopje vs FC Struga Trim & Lum?
The model expects 2.76 goals (FK Skopje 0.93 · FC Struga Trim & Lum 1.82), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Skopje vs FC Struga Trim & Lum?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.