Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 31/08, 15:00

Prediction: Viking FK (W) vs TIL 2020 Women

Team pages: Viking FK (W) · TIL 2020 Women

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Viking FK (W)2.24

TIL 2020 Women1.37

1X2

56% 22% 22%

Viking FK (W) Draw TIL 2020 Women

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Viking FK (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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TIL 2020 Women 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Viking FK (W) 1–2–2 TIL 2020 Women (5 last)

TIL 2020 Women1-2Viking FK (W)
Viking FK (W)1-2TIL 2020 Women
TIL 2020 Women1-1Viking FK (W)
TIL 2020 Women2-2Viking FK (W)
Viking FK (W)0-1TIL 2020 Women

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viking FK (W) 1534 · TIL 2020 Women 1532

	Viking FK (W)	Draw	TIL 2020 Women
Our model	56%	22%	22%
Market	56%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours TIL 2020 Women: 2-2-1.
High corners: 15 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viking FK (W)	TIL 2020 Women
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.6	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.6	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/0/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 9	3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	3 / 1

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.10

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:51 +8’	1.60	4.10	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viking FK (W) 1–2–2 TIL 2020 Women

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Norway Division 1 Women	TIL 2020 Women	1-2 HT 0-1	Viking FK (W)
28/09/25 Norway Division 1 Women	Viking FK (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	TIL 2020 Women
26/04/25 Norway Division 1 Women	TIL 2020 Women	1-1 HT 0-1	Viking FK (W)
15/06/24 Norway Division 1 Women	TIL 2020 Women	2-2 HT 2-1	Viking FK (W)
28/04/24 Norway Division 1 Women	Viking FK (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	TIL 2020 Women

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	15	12	2	1	38	17	38
2	Asane (W)	13	10	3	0	24	7	33
3	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	15	10	2	3	43	13	32
4	Viking FK (W)	14	9	2	3	42	17	29
5	TIL 2020 Women	14	8	2	4	31	12	26
6	Odd BK (W)	15	5	5	5	18	21	20
7	Kolbotn Women	14	4	2	8	21	29	14
8	Bryne (W)	15	4	2	9	12	26	14
9	Grei (W)	14	4	1	9	26	30	13
10	Fyllingsdalen (W)	15	4	0	11	19	37	12
11	Frigg (W)	16	3	1	12	11	40	10
12	Klepp (W)	14	3	0	11	18	54	9

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viking FK (W)	TIL 2020 Women
Asane (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Fyllingsdalen (W)	5-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Viking FK (W) (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viking FK (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	2-5	5	3	L
15/08	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
09/08	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	6-0	13	0	W
01/08	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	6	0	W
21/06	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
13/06	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
30/05	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	5-1	9	2	W
15/05	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	3-0	25	0	W
09/05	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-2	3-4	3	2	L
02/05	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

TIL 2020 Women

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
08/08	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
21/06	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
14/06	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
31/05	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
16/05	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	7-1	–	–	W
02/05	Viking FK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viking FK (W) vs TIL 2020 Women?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viking FK (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Viking FK (W) 56%, draw 22%, TIL 2020 Women 22%.

How many goals are expected in Viking FK (W) vs TIL 2020 Women?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Viking FK (W) 2.24 · TIL 2020 Women 1.37), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Viking FK (W) vs TIL 2020 Women?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.