Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 30/08, 14:15

Prediction: Grei (W) vs Klepp (W)

Team pages: Grei (W) · Klepp (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.1Total

Grei (W)2.66

Klepp (W)1.45

1X2

62% 19% 18%

Grei (W) Draw Klepp (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Grei (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Klepp (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Grei (W) 0–1–3 Klepp (W) (4 last)

Klepp (W)5-4Grei (W)
Grei (W)3-3Klepp (W)
Klepp (W)1-0Grei (W)
Grei (W)0-2Klepp (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grei (W) 1444 · Klepp (W) 1434

	Grei (W)	Draw	Klepp (W)
Our model	63%	19%	19%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 4.1 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Klepp (W): 3-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grei (W)	Klepp (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.4	1.6 / 3.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.6 / 2.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.4 / 2	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.1	1.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.90

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 1.25 · xG: 4.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.82
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.42 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +5’	1.45	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:29 +14’	1.45	4.60	5.01
00:24 +4’	1.42▼	4.71▲	5.28▲
13:32 +4’	1.43▲	4.82▲	5.42▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grei (W) 0–1–3 Klepp (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Klepp (W)	5-4 HT 3-2	Grei (W)
15/10/23 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	3-3 HT 1-3	Klepp (W)
16/09/23 Norway Division 1 Women	Klepp (W)	1-0	Grei (W)
26/03/23 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Klepp (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	15	12	2	1	38	17	38
2	Asane (W)	13	10	3	0	24	7	33
3	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	15	10	2	3	43	13	32
4	Viking FK (W)	14	9	2	3	42	17	29
5	TIL 2020 Women	14	8	2	4	31	12	26
6	Odd BK (W)	15	5	5	5	18	21	20
7	Kolbotn Women	14	4	2	8	21	29	14
8	Bryne (W)	15	4	2	9	12	26	14
9	Grei (W)	14	4	1	9	26	30	13
10	Fyllingsdalen (W)	15	4	0	11	19	37	12
11	Frigg (W)	16	3	1	12	11	40	10
12	Klepp (W)	14	3	0	11	18	54	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grei (W)	Klepp (W)
IK Start (W)	1-3 L	0-2 L
Bryne (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
TIL 2020 Women	1-1 D	0-5 L
Arna-Bjørnar (W)	2-4 L	0-6 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Grei (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grei (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
09/08	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
02/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-3	1	2	L
28/06	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
21/06	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	1-3	5	4	L
14/06	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	2-4	0	1	L
30/05	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
16/05	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/05	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-2	2-4	2	0	L
03/05	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-3	4-5	–	–	L

Klepp (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
09/08	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-3	5-4	2	3	W
02/08	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-5	0-6	–	–	L
20/06	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
14/06	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-4	1-9	3	5	L
31/05	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
23/05	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	2-1	2	0	W
09/05	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	2-3	6	1	L
03/05	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-2	5-4	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grei (W) vs Klepp (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Grei (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Grei (W) 62%, draw 19%, Klepp (W) 18%.

How many goals are expected in Grei (W) vs Klepp (W)?

The model expects 4.1 goals (Grei (W) 2.66 · Klepp (W) 1.45), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Grei (W) vs Klepp (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.