Football · Peru Liga 1 · 07/08, 22:15
Prediction: Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC
Team pages: Comerciantes Unidos · Cusco FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Comerciantes Unidos1.29
Cusco FC1.36
1X2
Comerciantes Unidos
Draw
Cusco FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Comerciantes Unidos
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Cusco FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Comerciantes Unidos
1–1–4
Cusco FC
(6 last)
- Cusco FC3-1Comerciantes Unidos
- Cusco FC1-1Comerciantes Unidos
- Comerciantes Unidos1-2Cusco FC
- Cusco FC2-1Comerciantes Unidos
- Comerciantes Unidos0-1Cusco FC
- Comerciantes Unidos2-1Cusco FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cusco FC (rating 1437 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Cusco FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Comerciantes Unidos | Cusco FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.1 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Comerciantes Unidos 1–1–4 Cusco FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Comerciantes Unidos |
| 13/10/25 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Comerciantes Unidos |
| 24/05/25 Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Cusco FC |
| 14/09/24 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Comerciantes Unidos |
| 08/04/24 Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cusco FC |
| 25/09/22 Peru Liga 2 | Comerciantes Unidos | 2-1 | Cusco FC |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 34 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 33 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 29 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 24 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 23 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 22 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 20 |
| 13 | Deportivo Moquegua | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 20 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 42 | 20 |
| 15 | Atletico Grau | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 19 |
| 16 | Sport Huancayo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 19 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 18 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 14 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Comerciantes Unidos | Cusco FC |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| AD Tarma | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Cienciano | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cusco FC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Comerciantes Unidos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/06 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 11 | L |
Cusco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 29/06 | Cienciano Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/05 | Independiente Medellin Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cusco FC win (37%). Probabilities: Comerciantes Unidos 34%, draw 29%, Cusco FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Comerciantes Unidos 1.29 · Cusco FC 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.