Football · Brazil Serie B · 14/11, 20:30

Prediction: CRB vs Ceara

Team pages: CRB · Ceara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

CRB1.74

Ceara1.01

1X2

53% 26% 21%

CRB Draw Ceara

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CRB 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWDLWLW

Ceara 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWLDLL

Head-to-head

CRB 4–1–1 Ceara (6 last)

Ceara0-1CRB
CRB0-2Ceara
Ceara0-1CRB
Ceara2-2CRB
CRB1-0Ceara
CRB2-0Ceara

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CRB (rating 1529 vs 1475).
H2H favours CRB: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CRB	Ceara
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7.5	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.89

Under 2.751.89

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.47▲	Pinn 1.47
X	4.21 → 4.27▲	Pinn 4.27
2	6.43 → 6.58▲	Pinn 6.58

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:49 +16’	1.45	4.21	6.43
00:50 +17’	1.47▲	4.27▲	6.58▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CRB 4–1–1 Ceara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/07/26 Brazil Serie B	Ceara	0-1 HT 0-1	CRB
22/08/24 Brazil Serie B	CRB	0-2 HT 0-1	Ceara
24/05/24 Copa do Brasil	Ceara	0-1 HT 0-1	CRB
07/05/24 Brazil Serie B	Ceara	2-2 HT 1-1	CRB
03/05/24 Copa do Brasil	CRB	1-0 HT 0-0	Ceara
07/10/23 Brazil Serie B	CRB	2-0 HT 1-0	Ceara

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gremio Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	66	32	70
2	EC Juventude	37	19	11	7	49	26	68
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	53	38	66
4	Criciuma	37	18	8	11	38	31	62
5	Fortaleza	37	16	14	7	44	33	62
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	57	51	58
7	Goias	36	16	7	13	38	41	55
8	Atletico GO	36	14	13	9	42	33	55
9	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	50	42	55
10	Operario PR	37	15	9	13	49	50	54
11	Sao Bernardo SP	37	14	10	13	52	42	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	45	39	51
13	Cuiaba	37	11	14	12	34	32	47
14	Athletic Club MG	36	11	14	11	42	41	47
15	Nautico	37	12	10	15	40	49	46
16	Ceara	36	11	10	15	38	46	43
17	Avai	37	11	7	19	35	47	40
18	Londrina	37	8	8	21	45	58	32
19	America MG	36	7	5	24	26	55	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	3	6	27	21	78	15

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CRB	Ceara
Goias	1-2 L	0-2 L
Botafogo SP	0-1 L	0-1 L
Fortaleza	2-2 D	1-1 D
Atletico GO	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CRB (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CRB

WLWLWDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Nautico Brazil Serie B	2-0	3-0	3	6	W
03/11	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
24/10	Londrina Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-1	9	2	W
18/10	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
12/10	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	1-2	2-2	11	4	D
08/10	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-0	3-1	10	3	W
03/10	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-3	7	2	L
27/09	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	3-0	7	6	W
20/09	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
16/09	Sport Recife Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	5	6	W

Ceara

LDWDWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
28/10	Goias Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
17/10	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-2	6	5	D
13/10	Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
09/10	Criciuma Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/10	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
26/09	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
19/09	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	2-1	2	8	W
13/09	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
10/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	1-2	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CRB vs Ceara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CRB win (53%). Probabilities: CRB 53%, draw 26%, Ceara 21%.

How many goals are expected in CRB vs Ceara?

The model expects 2.75 goals (CRB 1.74 · Ceara 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CRB vs Ceara?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.