Prediction: Palmeiras (W) vs Sao Paulo (W)
| Palmeiras (W) | Draw | Sao Paulo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Palmeiras (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Palmeiras (W) | Sao Paulo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.6 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.4 | 2.5 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Palmeiras (W) 4–0–2 Sao Paulo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Sao Paulo (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Palmeiras (W) |
| 05/11/25 Copa do Brazil Women | Sao Paulo (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Palmeiras (W) |
| 28/09/25 Brazil Paulista Women | Sao Paulo (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Palmeiras (W) |
| 05/06/25 Brazil Paulista Women | Palmeiras (W) | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Sao Paulo (W) |
| 03/05/25 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Palmeiras (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sao Paulo (W) |
| 17/06/24 Brazil Serie A1 Women | Sao Paulo (W) | 1-5 HT 1-2 | Palmeiras (W) |
Standings · Brazil Paulista Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviaria (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Bragantino (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| 4 | Corinthians (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Palmeiras (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Taubate (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Santos (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 8 | Mirassol (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Palmeiras (W) | Sao Paulo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo (W) | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Corinthians (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Bragantino (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Santos (W) | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Palmeiras (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palmeiras (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Flamengo (W) Brazil Ladies Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/07 | Paraguay (W) Brazil Ladies Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Corinthians (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Bragantino (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | Botafogo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/05 | Atletico Mineiro (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Mirassol (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
5-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Bahia (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Sao Paulo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Taubate (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 06/07 | Mauaense (W) Copa do Brazil Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Santos (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Bragantino (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | EC Juventude (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | Corinthians (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Corinthians (W) Brazil Paulista Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Flamengo (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | America MG (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | D |
| 21/04 | Gremio (W) Brazil Serie A1 Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palmeiras (W) vs Sao Paulo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Palmeiras (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Palmeiras (W) 50%, draw 27%, Sao Paulo (W) 23%.
How many goals are expected in Palmeiras (W) vs Sao Paulo (W)?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Palmeiras (W) 1.59 · Sao Paulo (W) 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Palmeiras (W) vs Sao Paulo (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.