Football · Brazil Paulista Women · 18/07, 00:00

Prediction: Corinthians (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Corinthians (W)1.9
Ferroviaria (W)1.08
1X2
55% 25% 20%
Corinthians (W) Draw Ferroviaria (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Corinthians (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWLDWW
Ferroviaria (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WLWWDWWWWW
Head-to-head
Corinthians (W) 3–3–0 Ferroviaria (W) (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corinthians (W) 1588 · Ferroviaria (W) 1584
Corinthians (W)DrawFerroviaria (W)
Our model56%24%20%
Market55%25%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Corinthians (W): 3-3-0.
  • High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Corinthians (W)Ferroviaria (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 13 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.51.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.72.8 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.13.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians (W) 330 Ferroviaria (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Corinthians (W)3-1
HT 1-0
Ferroviaria (W)
13/11/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Ferroviaria (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians (W)
16/10/25
Copa Libertadores Women
Corinthians (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Ferroviaria (W)
12/08/25
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Ferroviaria (W)
12/05/25
Brazil Serie A1 Women
Ferroviaria (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Corinthians (W)
01/07/24
Brazil Paulista Women
Corinthians (W)2-1
HT 1-1
Ferroviaria (W)

Standings · Brazil Paulista Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ferroviaria (W) 3300 829
2 Sao Paulo (W) 3201 436
3 Corinthians (W) 3111 944
4 Palmeiras (W) 3111 624
5 Taubate (W) 3111 434
6 Bragantino (W) 3111 274
7 Santos (W) 3021 342
8 Mirassol (W) 3003 0110

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorinthians (W)Ferroviaria (W)
Palmeiras (W) 1-0 W 2-1 W
Mixto EC (W) 4-1 W 3-0 W
Santos (W) 2-2 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ferroviaria (W) (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corinthians (W)

WWWLWWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/05 Palmeiras (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
0-0 1-0 46 W
26/05 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-0 4-1 87 W
22/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-1 2-2 71 D
19/05 Cruzeiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-2 2-3 43 L
14/05 Bragantino (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
3-0 6-0 51 W
12/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
2-0 2-1 13 W
08/05 Sao Paulo (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-2 1-2 63 L
01/05 Gremio (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-0 95 W
25/04 Ferroviaria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 3-1 55 W
21/04 EC Juventude (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 1-0 81 W

Ferroviaria (W)

WLWWDWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/05 UD Alagoana (W)
Copa do Brazil Women
5-0 8-0 153 W
24/05 Atletico Mineiro (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-1 3-2 66 W
21/05 Palmeiras (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
0-1 2-1 24 W
19/05 EC Vitoria (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 2-0 82 W
14/05 Mirassol (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 4-0 43 W
12/05 Flamengo (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-0 1-1 410 D
07/05 Santos (W)
Brazil Paulista Women
1-0 2-1 64 W
01/05 Mixto EC (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
1-0 3-0 92 W
25/04 Corinthians (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
0-1 1-3 35 L
21/04 America MG (W)
Brazil Serie A1 Women
3-1 4-1 130 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corinthians (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Corinthians (W) win (55%). Probabilities: Corinthians (W) 55%, draw 25%, Ferroviaria (W) 20%.

How many goals are expected in Corinthians (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Corinthians (W) 1.9 · Ferroviaria (W) 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Corinthians (W) vs Ferroviaria (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.