Football · Brazil Paulista Women · 26/08, 23:30

Prediction: Corinthians (W) vs Taubate (W)

Team pages: Corinthians (W) · Taubate (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.8Total

Corinthians (W)2.83

Taubate (W)0.97

1X2

75% 14% 10%

Corinthians (W) Draw Taubate (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Corinthians (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWDWLW

Taubate (W) 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLLLL

Head-to-head

Corinthians (W) 6–0 Taubate (W) (6 last)

Taubate (W)0-3Corinthians (W)
Corinthians (W)5-1Taubate (W)
Corinthians (W)4-1Taubate (W)
Taubate (W)0-3Corinthians (W)
Corinthians (W)5-0Taubate (W)
Taubate (W)0-3Corinthians (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corinthians (W) 1572 · Taubate (W) 1396

	Corinthians (W)	Draw	Taubate (W)
Our model	75%	15%	10%
Market	76%	14%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corinthians (W) (rating 1572 vs 1396).
H2H favours Corinthians (W): 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Corinthians (W)	Taubate (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	0.7 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.6 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	1.6 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.25

X7.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)2.00

2 (+2)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.25▲	Bet365 1.25
X	8.50 → 7.00▼	Bet365 7.00
2	13.00 → 9.00▼	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:30 +20’	1.17	8.50	13.00
22:28 +4’	1.25▲	7.00▼	9.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians (W) 6–0–0 Taubate (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/25 Brazil Paulista Women	Taubate (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Corinthians (W)
05/06/25 Brazil Paulista Women	Corinthians (W)	5-1 HT 2-1	Taubate (W)
22/05/24 Brazil Paulista Women	Corinthians (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Taubate (W)
30/08/23 Brazil Paulista Women	Taubate (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Corinthians (W)
23/11/22 Brazil Paulista Women	Corinthians (W)	5-0 HT 4-0	Taubate (W)
09/10/21 Brazil Paulista Women	Taubate (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Corinthians (W)

Standings · Brazil Paulista Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferroviaria (W)	6	4	1	1	12	5	13
2	Palmeiras (W)	6	4	1	1	9	2	13
3	Sao Paulo (W)	6	4	0	2	7	4	12
4	Corinthians (W)	6	3	1	2	14	6	10
5	Bragantino (W)	6	1	4	1	4	9	7
6	Santos (W)	6	1	3	2	5	6	6
7	Taubate (W)	6	1	1	4	6	9	4
8	Mirassol (W)	6	0	1	5	2	18	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Corinthians (W)	Taubate (W)
Mirassol (W)	4-1 W	2-0 W
Palmeiras (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Ferroviaria (W)	1-0 W	2-4 L
Santos (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Bragantino (W)	6-0 W	1-1 D
Sao Paulo (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Corinthians (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corinthians (W)

WWLWLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Mirassol (W) Brazil Paulista Women	2-1	4-1	6	3	W
30/07	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
18/07	Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
22/05	Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-1	2-2	7	1	D
14/05	Bragantino (W) Brazil Paulista Women	3-0	6-0	5	1	W
08/05	Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-2	1-2	6	3	L
14/12	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
07/12	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-3	1-5	2	7	L
05/12	Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
22/11	Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-1	2-1	7	2	W

Taubate (W)

LLLLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
30/07	Ferroviaria (W) Brazil Paulista Women	2-2	2-4	1	1	L
18/07	Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
12/07	Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-0	1-2	1	2	L
07/06	Mirassol (W) Brazil Paulista Women	2-0	2-0	2	2	W
06/05	Bragantino (W) Brazil Paulista Women	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
16/11	Palmeiras (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-3	0-5	3	3	L
12/11	Bragantino (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-3	1-4	1	3	L
08/11	Sao Paulo (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-3	0-6	2	5	L
31/10	Santos (W) Brazil Paulista Women	0-2	0-4	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corinthians (W) vs Taubate (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Corinthians (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Corinthians (W) 75%, draw 14%, Taubate (W) 10%.

How many goals are expected in Corinthians (W) vs Taubate (W)?

The model expects 3.8 goals (Corinthians (W) 2.83 · Taubate (W) 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Corinthians (W) vs Taubate (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.