Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 24/07, 21:00
Prediction: Lisburn (W) vs Cliftonville (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.52Total
Lisburn (W)1.26
Cliftonville (W)3.26
1X2
Lisburn (W)
Draw
Cliftonville (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Lisburn (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Cliftonville (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lisburn (W)
0–6
Cliftonville (W)
(6 last)
- Cliftonville (W)5-0Lisburn (W)
- Cliftonville (W)6-0Lisburn (W)
- Lisburn (W)0-2Cliftonville (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisburn (W) 1423 · Cliftonville (W) 1600
| Lisburn (W) | Draw | Cliftonville (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 4% | 4% | 92% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.52 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cliftonville (W) (rating 1423 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Cliftonville (W): 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lisburn (W) | Cliftonville (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 3.3 | 3.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lisburn (W) 0–0–6 Cliftonville (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Cliftonville (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Lisburn (W) |
| 01/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Cliftonville (W) | 6-0 HT 1-0 | Lisburn (W) |
| 13/06/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cliftonville (W) |
| 02/05/25 Northern Ireland League Cup Women | Cliftonville (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Lisburn (W) |
| 20/09/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Cliftonville (W) | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Lisburn (W) |
| 11/10/23 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Cliftonville (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lisburn (W) |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linfield (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Glentoran (W) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Cliftonville (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 5 | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 27 | 11 |
| 6 | Derry City (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 7 |
| 7 | Lisburn (W) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 4 |
| 8 | Larne FC (W) | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lisburn (W) | Cliftonville (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Larne FC (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Linfield (W) | 1-8 L | 3-2 W |
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | 0-3 L | 7-0 W |
| Derry City (W) | 0-1 L | 5-1 W |
| Glentoran (W) | 0-7 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Cliftonville (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisburn (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-8 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 0-7 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/05 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/04 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Cliftonville (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Shelbourne (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisburn (W) vs Cliftonville (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cliftonville (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Lisburn (W) 7%, draw 9%, Cliftonville (W) 85%.
How many goals are expected in Lisburn (W) vs Cliftonville (W)?
The model expects 4.52 goals (Lisburn (W) 1.26 · Cliftonville (W) 3.26), with a 57% chance of under 5.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lisburn (W) vs Cliftonville (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.