Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 24/07, 21:00
Prediction: Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.21Total
Crusaders Strikers (W)1.8
Lisburn Rangers (W)2.4
1X2
Crusaders Strikers (W)
Draw
Lisburn Rangers (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Crusaders Strikers (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Lisburn Rangers (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crusaders Strikers (W)
4–2
Lisburn Rangers (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crusaders Strikers (W) 1523 · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1439
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | Draw | Lisburn Rangers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 21% | 51% |
| Market | 28% | 22% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crusaders Strikers (W) (rating 1523 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Crusaders Strikers (W): 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | Lisburn Rangers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 2.8 | 1.5 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/0/40% | 20/0/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0.1 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crusaders Strikers (W) 4–0–2 Lisburn Rangers (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
| 25/07/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
| 13/06/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
| 11/04/25 Northern Ireland League Cup Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
| 04/10/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Crusaders Strikers (W) |
| 05/07/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linfield (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Glentoran (W) | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Cliftonville (W) | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 5 | Crusaders Strikers (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 27 | 11 |
| 6 | Derry City (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 7 |
| 7 | Lisburn (W) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 4 |
| 8 | Larne FC (W) | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crusaders Strikers (W) | Lisburn Rangers (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Derry City (W) | 3-3 D | 3-2 W |
| Linfield (W) | 1-9 L | 0-3 L |
| Glentoran (W) | 2-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Cliftonville (W) | 0-7 L | 0-1 L |
| Larne FC (W) | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lisburn Rangers (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crusaders Strikers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 26/06 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 1-9 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 19/06 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-7 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 08/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Lisburn Rangers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Peamount Utd (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Galway (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/10 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 28/09 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-5 | 1-8 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lisburn Rangers (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Crusaders Strikers (W) 28%, draw 22%, Lisburn Rangers (W) 50%.
How many goals are expected in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?
The model expects 4.21 goals (Crusaders Strikers (W) 1.8 · Lisburn Rangers (W) 2.4), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.