Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 04/09, 20:45

Prediction: Lisburn Rangers (W) vs Linfield (W)

Team pages: Lisburn Rangers (W) · Linfield (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.37Total

Lisburn Rangers (W)1.22

Linfield (W)3.15

1X2

11% 15% 75%

Lisburn Rangers (W) Draw Linfield (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Lisburn Rangers (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWWLLW

Linfield (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWWLWW

Head-to-head

Lisburn Rangers (W) 1–4 Linfield (W) (5 last)

Linfield (W)3-0Lisburn Rangers (W)
Lisburn Rangers (W)5-0Linfield (W)
Lisburn Rangers (W)2-3Linfield (W)
Linfield (W)5-2Lisburn Rangers (W)
Lisburn Rangers (W)0-3Linfield (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1512 · Linfield (W) 1574

	Lisburn Rangers (W)	Draw	Linfield (W)
Our model	11%	14%	75%
Market	11%	15%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 4.37 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linfield (W) (rating 1512 vs 1574).
H2H favours Linfield (W): 4-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lisburn Rangers (W)	Linfield (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.1	4.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.2	2.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	90/10/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 5	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	1.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

18.50

X6.25

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.98

2 (-2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 1 · xG: 5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
X	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:14 +7’	8.50	6.25	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1–0–4 Linfield (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Linfield (W)	3-0 HT 3-0	Lisburn Rangers (W)
12/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn Rangers (W)	5-0 HT 4-0	Linfield (W)
29/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn Rangers (W)	2-3 HT 1-0	Linfield (W)
27/06/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Linfield (W)	5-2 HT 3-2	Lisburn Rangers (W)
23/08/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn Rangers (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Linfield (W)

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cliftonville (W)	13	12	0	1	61	10	36
2	Linfield (W)	12	9	1	2	56	13	28
3	Glentoran (W)	12	9	1	2	47	12	28
4	Lisburn Rangers (W)	13	7	1	5	30	28	22
5	Crusaders Strikers (W)	13	3	4	6	22	51	13
6	Derry City (W)	13	4	1	8	24	29	13
7	Lisburn (W)	13	1	2	10	6	50	5
8	Larne FC (W)	13	0	2	11	7	60	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lisburn Rangers (W)	Linfield (W)
Larne FC (W)	5-1 W	2-0 W
Glentoran (W)	0-6 L	2-2 D
Cliftonville (W)	0-3 L	1-3 L
Derry City (W)	3-0 W	2-1 W
Lisburn (W)	6-0 W	6-1 W
Crusaders Strikers (W)	2-2 D	7-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lisburn Rangers (W)

LWLWDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	5-1	5-1	–	–	W
18/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
14/08	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	0	4	L
09/08	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
31/07	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
24/07	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	2-2	9	1	D
10/07	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-2	4-3	–	–	W
03/07	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	0-3	5	1	L
19/06	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/05	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	1-3	5	1	L

Linfield (W)

LWWWDWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	4-1	7-1	5	4	W
14/08	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/08	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-1	1-3	0	1	L
07/08	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	6-0	6-1	3	1	W
31/07	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/07	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-1	2-2	5	4	D
03/07	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	3-0	3-0	4	1	W
26/06	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	4-1	9-1	6	1	W
19/06	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	3-1	8-1	14	0	W
22/05	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-1	2-3	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lisburn Rangers (W) vs Linfield (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Linfield (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Lisburn Rangers (W) 11%, draw 15%, Linfield (W) 75%.

How many goals are expected in Lisburn Rangers (W) vs Linfield (W)?

The model expects 4.37 goals (Lisburn Rangers (W) 1.22 · Linfield (W) 3.15), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Lisburn Rangers (W) vs Linfield (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.