Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 04/09, 21:00

Prediction: Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Larne FC (W)

Team pages: Crusaders Strikers (W) · Larne FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.27Total

Crusaders Strikers (W)3.14

Larne FC (W)1.14

1X2

76% 14% 10%

Crusaders Strikers (W) Draw Larne FC (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Crusaders Strikers (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Larne FC (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Crusaders Strikers (W) 5–1–0 Larne FC (W) (6 last)

Larne FC (W)2-2Crusaders Strikers (W)
Crusaders Strikers (W)3-2Larne FC (W)
Larne FC (W)2-4Crusaders Strikers (W)
Crusaders Strikers (W)4-1Larne FC (W)
Larne FC (W)1-7Crusaders Strikers (W)
Crusaders Strikers (W)7-0Larne FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crusaders Strikers (W) 1473 · Larne FC (W) 1363

	Crusaders Strikers (W)	Draw	Larne FC (W)
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	76%	15%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 4.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crusaders Strikers (W) (rating 1473 vs 1363).
H2H favours Crusaders Strikers (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crusaders Strikers (W)	Larne FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 4.1	0.4 / 4.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 2	0.2 / 2.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	1.5 / 1.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.20

X6.25

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.85

2 (+2)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 1.75 · xG: 5.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:14 +8’	1.20	6.25	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Crusaders Strikers (W) 5–1–0 Larne FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Larne FC (W)	2-2 HT 0-2	Crusaders Strikers (W)
26/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Crusaders Strikers (W)	3-2 HT 1-1	Larne FC (W)
01/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Larne FC (W)	2-4 HT 2-3	Crusaders Strikers (W)
06/06/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Crusaders Strikers (W)	4-1 HT 2-0	Larne FC (W)
23/04/25 Northern Ireland League Cup Women	Larne FC (W)	1-7 HT 1-3	Crusaders Strikers (W)
30/08/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Crusaders Strikers (W)	7-0 HT 4-0	Larne FC (W)

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cliftonville (W)	13	12	0	1	61	10	36
2	Linfield (W)	12	9	1	2	56	13	28
3	Glentoran (W)	12	9	1	2	47	12	28
4	Lisburn Rangers (W)	13	7	1	5	30	28	22
5	Crusaders Strikers (W)	13	3	4	6	22	51	13
6	Derry City (W)	13	4	1	8	24	29	13
7	Lisburn (W)	13	1	2	10	6	50	5
8	Larne FC (W)	13	0	2	11	7	60	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crusaders Strikers (W)	Larne FC (W)
Linfield (W)	1-7 L	0-2 L
Lisburn (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Glentoran (W)	1-5 L	1-7 L
Cliftonville (W)	0-9 L	0-8 L
Lisburn Rangers (W)	2-2 D	1-5 L
Derry City (W)	3-3 D	0-7 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Crusaders Strikers (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crusaders Strikers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-4	1-7	3	4	L
14/08	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
07/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	1-5	5	1	L
31/07	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-5	0-9	–	–	L
24/07	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	2-2	9	1	D
03/07	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-2	3-3	1	4	D
26/06	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-4	1-9	3	1	L
19/06	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	2-4	1	2	L
29/05	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
22/05	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-0	3-1	3	1	W

Larne FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-5	1-5	–	–	L
14/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-5	1-7	1	1	L
07/08	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-4	0-8	2	2	L
31/07	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
24/07	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-4	0-7	1	0	L
03/07	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
26/06	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	0	2	L
19/06	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
29/05	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-2	1-6	–	–	L
22/05	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	0-5	0	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Larne FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crusaders Strikers (W) win (76%). Probabilities: Crusaders Strikers (W) 76%, draw 14%, Larne FC (W) 10%.

How many goals are expected in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Larne FC (W)?

The model expects 4.27 goals (Crusaders Strikers (W) 3.14 · Larne FC (W) 1.14), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Larne FC (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.