Prediction: Lota Schwager vs Provincial Osorno
| Lota Schwager | Draw | Provincial Osorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 35% | 36% |
| Market | 31% | 30% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Provincial Osorno (rating 1483 vs 1555).
- H2H favours Provincial Osorno: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lota Schwager | Provincial Osorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 1.7 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.6 | 5.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lota Schwager 1–1–2 Provincial Osorno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Chile Segunda | Provincial Osorno | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lota Schwager |
| 12/06/22 Chile Tercera | Provincial Osorno | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lota Schwager |
| 23/10/21 Chile Tercera | Lota Schwager | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Provincial Osorno |
| 17/09/21 Chile Tercera | Provincial Osorno | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lota Schwager |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Provincial Osorno | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
| 2 | Colchagua CD | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Deportes Linares | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 13 |
| 5 | Lota Schwager | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | CD Rengo Unido | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 11 |
| 7 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lota Schwager | Provincial Osorno |
|---|---|---|
| Colchagua CD | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| General Velásquez | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Santiago Morning | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Linares | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CD Rengo Unido | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Lota Schwager (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lota Schwager
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 28/06 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Provincial Osorno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 18/04 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 11/04 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lota Schwager vs Provincial Osorno?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Provincial Osorno win (38%). Probabilities: Lota Schwager 30%, draw 32%, Provincial Osorno 38%.
How many goals are expected in Lota Schwager vs Provincial Osorno?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Lota Schwager 0.84 · Provincial Osorno 0.98), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Lota Schwager vs Provincial Osorno?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.