Football · Chile Segunda · 11/07, 22:00
Prediction: Concon National vs Santiago City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Concon National1.64
Santiago City1.15
1X2
Concon National
Draw
Santiago City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Concon National
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Santiago City
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Concon National
1–1–4
Santiago City
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Concon National 1522 · Santiago City 1533
| Concon National | Draw | Santiago City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Santiago City: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Concon National | Santiago City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.6 | 5.6 / 1.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Concon National 1–1–4 Santiago City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Chile Segunda | Santiago City | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Concon National |
| 07/09/25 Chile Segunda | Santiago City | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Concon National |
| 13/04/25 Chile Segunda | Concon National | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Santiago City |
| 22/09/23 Chile Tercera | Santiago City | 5-2 HT 1-0 | Concon National |
| 30/07/23 Chile Tercera | Concon National | 1-5 HT 1-3 | Santiago City |
| 17/06/23 Chile Tercera | Concon National | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Santiago City |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santiago City | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 15 | 20 |
| 2 | Brujas de Salamanca | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Concon National | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 18 |
| 5 | Real Juventud San Joaquin | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 6 | AC Colina | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 9 |
| 7 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Concon National | Santiago City |
|---|---|---|
| Brujas de Salamanca | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| AC Colina | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Real Juventud San Joaquin | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Provincial Ovalle | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 4-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Concon National
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 09/05 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 03/05 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Santiago City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
1-3 | 1-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 27/04 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 12 | W |
| 11/04 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Concon National vs Santiago City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Concon National win (48%). Probabilities: Concon National 48%, draw 27%, Santiago City 26%.
How many goals are expected in Concon National vs Santiago City?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Concon National 1.64 · Santiago City 1.15), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Concon National vs Santiago City?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.