Football · South Korea Women K League · 10/07, 12:00

Prediction: Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Mungyeong Sangmu Women

Expected goals: 2.53 (Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1.47 · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1.06). The model gives 46% home, 27% draw, 27% away. Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Sejong Sportstoto (W) with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Mungyeong Sangmu Women has piled up 3-1-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Sejong Sportstoto (W) won 4 and Mungyeong Sangmu Women 2.

46%1
46% 27% 27%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1490 · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1454
Sejong Sportstoto (W)DrawMungyeong Sangmu Women
Our model45%29%26%
Market47%26%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.53Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1.47 · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1.06
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sejong Sportstoto (W): 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sejong Sportstoto (W)Mungyeong Sangmu Women
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.61.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 2.71 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 01.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sejong Sportstoto (W) 402 Mungyeong Sangmu Women

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
South Korea Women K League
Mungyeong Sangmu Women1-2
HT 1-2
Sejong Sportstoto (W)
04/04/26
South Korea Women K League
Sejong Sportstoto (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Mungyeong Sangmu Women
22/09/25
South Korea Women K League
Mungyeong Sangmu Women0-1
HT 0-1
Sejong Sportstoto (W)
19/05/25
South Korea Women K League
Sejong Sportstoto (W)1-4
HT 0-2
Mungyeong Sangmu Women
14/04/25
South Korea Women K League
Mungyeong Sangmu Women1-2
HT 0-1
Sejong Sportstoto (W)
26/09/24
South Korea Women K League
Sejong Sportstoto (W)4-2
HT 1-0
Mungyeong Sangmu Women

Standings · South Korea Women K League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Suwon FMC (W) 141103 371233
2 Hwacheon KSPO (W) 12813 17725
3 Incheon Red Angels (W) 13634 161521
4 Mungyeong Sangmu Women 14626 151820
5 Gyeongju (W) 14527 181917
6 Sejong Sportstoto (W) 14527 162317
7 Seoul Amazones (W) 13508 122215
8 Gangjin Swans (W) 142210 14298

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSejong Sportstoto (W)Mungyeong Sangmu Women
Gangjin Swans (W) 0-0 D 2-1 W
Hwacheon KSPO (W) 0-2 L 1-3 L
Incheon Red Angels (W) 0-0 D 1-1 D
Suwon FMC (W) 0-6 L 0-2 L
Seoul Amazones (W) 3-1 W 1-2 L
Gyeongju (W) 2-4 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sejong Sportstoto (W)

WLWWLWLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Gangjin Swans (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-0 0-0 43 D
20/06 Hwacheon KSPO (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-1 0-2 L
17/06 Incheon Red Angels (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-0 0-0 33 D
12/06 Suwon FMC (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-1 0-6 32 L
31/05 Seoul Amazones (W)
South Korea Women K League
2-1 3-1 44 W
27/05 Gyeongju (W)
South Korea Women K League
1-1 2-4 23 L
16/05 Mungyeong Sangmu Women
South Korea Women K League
2-1 2-1 W
09/05 Gangjin Swans (W)
South Korea Women K League
1-0 3-1 23 W
05/05 Hwacheon KSPO (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-1 0-1 L
01/05 Incheon Red Angels (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-0 1-0 13 W

Mungyeong Sangmu Women

WLWLLLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 Gangjin Swans (W)
South Korea Women K League
2-0 2-1 42 W
27/06 Incheon Red Angels (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-0 1-1 20 D
20/06 Suwon FMC (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-1 0-2 24 L
17/06 Seoul Amazones (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-2 1-2 41 L
13/06 Gyeongju (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-1 0-3 L
30/05 Hwacheon KSPO (W)
South Korea Women K League
0-1 1-3 41 L
16/05 Sejong Sportstoto (W)
South Korea Women K League
1-2 1-2 L
09/05 Incheon Red Angels (W)
South Korea Women K League
1-0 1-0 W
05/05 Suwon FMC (W)
South Korea Women K League
1-1 1-3 L
02/05 Seoul Amazones (W)
South Korea Women K League
2-0 3-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Mungyeong Sangmu Women?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sejong Sportstoto (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Sejong Sportstoto (W) 46%, draw 27%, Mungyeong Sangmu Women 27%.

How many goals are expected in Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Mungyeong Sangmu Women?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Sejong Sportstoto (W) 1.47 · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sejong Sportstoto (W) vs Mungyeong Sangmu Women?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.