Football · South Korea Women K League · 31/07, 12:00
Prediction: Incheon Red Angels (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W)
Team pages: Incheon Red Angels (W) · Hwacheon KSPO (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Incheon Red Angels (W)0.99
Hwacheon KSPO (W)1.59
1X2
Incheon Red Angels (W)
Draw
Hwacheon KSPO (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Incheon Red Angels (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Hwacheon KSPO (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Incheon Red Angels (W)
1–1–4
Hwacheon KSPO (W)
(6 last)
- Hwacheon KSPO (W)2-2Incheon Red Angels (W)
- Incheon Red Angels (W)1-3Hwacheon KSPO (W)
- Hwacheon KSPO (W)3-1Incheon Red Angels (W)
- Hwacheon KSPO (W)3-1Incheon Red Angels (W)
- Incheon Red Angels (W)1-0Hwacheon KSPO (W)
- Hwacheon KSPO (W)2-1Incheon Red Angels (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Incheon Red Angels (W) 1432 · Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1593
| Incheon Red Angels (W) | Draw | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 27% | 50% |
| Market | 23% | 26% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hwacheon KSPO (W) (rating 1432 vs 1593).
- H2H favours Hwacheon KSPO (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Incheon Red Angels (W) | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.1 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Incheon Red Angels (W) 1–1–4 Hwacheon KSPO (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 South Korea Women K League | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
| 15/09/25 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) |
| 19/06/25 South Korea Women K League | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
| 08/05/25 South Korea Women K League | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
| 27/03/25 South Korea Women K League | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) |
| 12/09/24 South Korea Women K League | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Incheon Red Angels (W) |
Standings · South Korea Women K League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon FMC (W) | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 8 | 32 |
| 3 | Gyeongju (W) | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 24 |
| 4 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 23 |
| 5 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 21 |
| 6 | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | Seoul Amazones (W) | 16 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 18 |
| 8 | Gangjin Swans (W) | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Incheon Red Angels (W) | Hwacheon KSPO (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Suwon FMC (W) | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Seoul Amazones (W) | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Gyeongju (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Gangjin Swans (W) | 3-2 W | 5-1 W |
| Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hwacheon KSPO (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Incheon Red Angels (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Hwacheon KSPO (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/07 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/07 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
4-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/06 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Incheon Red Angels (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hwacheon KSPO (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Incheon Red Angels (W) 23%, draw 27%, Hwacheon KSPO (W) 51%.
How many goals are expected in Incheon Red Angels (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W)?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Incheon Red Angels (W) 0.99 · Hwacheon KSPO (W) 1.59), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Incheon Red Angels (W) vs Hwacheon KSPO (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.