Prediction: CD Rengo Unido vs Santiago Morning
Expected goals: 2.15 (CD Rengo Unido 0.84 · Santiago Morning 1.32). The model gives 23% home, 29% draw, 48% away. Under 2.25 goals (52%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, CD Rengo Unido sits at 2-2-6 (W-D-L), while Santiago Morning arrives on a 2-4-4 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for CD Rengo Unido and 1 for Santiago Morning.
| CD Rengo Unido | Draw | Santiago Morning | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 31% | 47% |
| Market | 24% | 28% | 48% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Rengo Unido | Santiago Morning | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.4 | 6.6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Rengo Unido 0–0–1 Santiago Morning
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Chile Segunda | Santiago Morning | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD Rengo Unido |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchagua CD | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Provincial Osorno | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Deportes Linares | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | Santiago Morning | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | Lota Schwager | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| 7 | CD Rengo Unido | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Rengo Unido | Santiago Morning |
|---|---|---|
| Colchagua CD | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Linares | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Lota Schwager | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Provincial Osorno | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| General Velásquez | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Santiago Morning (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Rengo Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 03/05 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 29/11 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
Santiago Morning
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 07/06 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 19/04 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 12/04 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 04/04 | Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Rengo Unido vs Santiago Morning?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Santiago Morning win (48%). Probabilities: CD Rengo Unido 23%, draw 29%, Santiago Morning 48%.
How many goals are expected in CD Rengo Unido vs Santiago Morning?
The model expects 2.15 goals (CD Rengo Unido 0.84 · Santiago Morning 1.32), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Rengo Unido vs Santiago Morning?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.