Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 02/08, 09:00

Prediction: Fremantle City FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)

Team pages: Fremantle City FC (W) · Sorrento (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Fremantle City FC (W)2.69

Sorrento (W)0.84

1X2

77% 14% 9%

Fremantle City FC (W) Draw Sorrento (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Fremantle City FC (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWLL

Sorrento (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDDLLL

Head-to-head

Fremantle City FC (W) 3–0 Sorrento (W) (3 last)

Sorrento (W)3-4Fremantle City FC (W)
Sorrento (W)0-6Fremantle City FC (W)
Fremantle City FC (W)4-0Sorrento (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fremantle City FC (W) 1545 · Sorrento (W) 1411

	Fremantle City FC (W)	Draw	Sorrento (W)
Our model	76%	16%	9%
Market	77%	13%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fremantle City FC (W) (rating 1545 vs 1411).
H2H favours Fremantle City FC (W): 3-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fremantle City FC (W)	Sorrento (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.6	1 / 1.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0.1	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.17

X7.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.25)1.95

2 (+2.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:05 +17’	1.17	7.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fremantle City FC (W) 3–0–0 Sorrento (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Sorrento (W)	3-4 HT 2-2	Fremantle City FC (W)
10/05/26 Australia WA State Cup Women	Sorrento (W)	0-6 HT 0-4	Fremantle City FC (W)
19/04/26 Australia WA Premier League Women	Fremantle City FC (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Sorrento (W)

Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Perth SC (W)	17	14	3	0	39	6	45
2	Balcatta FC (W)	17	10	5	2	41	14	35
3	Fremantle City FC (W)	17	10	3	4	36	17	33
4	Perth Redstar FC (W)	17	6	4	7	26	24	22
5	Hyundai NTC Women	17	5	5	7	29	32	20
6	Subiaco AFC (W)	17	5	2	10	20	35	17
7	Sorrento (W)	17	2	3	12	16	43	9
8	UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	17	2	3	12	8	44	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fremantle City FC (W)	Sorrento (W)
UWA-Nedlands FC (W)	0-1 L	0-1 L
Perth SC (W)	0-3 L	0-1 L
Subiaco AFC (W)	2-0 W	0-1 L
Perth Redstar FC (W)	2-0 W	2-2 D
Hyundai NTC Women	2-1 W	1-4 L
Balcatta FC (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Fremantle City FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fremantle City FC (W)

WWLWLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	14	0	L
22/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
19/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
12/07	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
04/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	8	1	W
28/06	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	9	2	L
21/06	Sorrento (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-2	4-3	3	1	W
13/06	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
31/05	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
24/05	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	7	2	W

Sorrento (W)

WDLLLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	1-4	3	1	L
17/07	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
12/07	Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
05/07	Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	0	1	D
28/06	Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	1-1	2-2	1	3	D
21/06	Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-2	3-4	0	1	L
14/06	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
31/05	Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	0-3	0-3	0	0	L
24/05	Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women	1-0	1-1	1	0	D
17/05	UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women	2-0	3-1	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fremantle City FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fremantle City FC (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Fremantle City FC (W) 77%, draw 14%, Sorrento (W) 9%.

How many goals are expected in Fremantle City FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Fremantle City FC (W) 2.69 · Sorrento (W) 0.84), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fremantle City FC (W) vs Sorrento (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.