Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 30/10, 20:45
Prediction: Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
Team pages: Sligo Rovers · Derry City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Sligo Rovers0.98
Derry City1.67
1X2
Sligo Rovers
Draw
Derry City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sligo Rovers
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Derry City
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sligo Rovers
1–1–4
Derry City
(6 last)
- Derry City2-0Sligo Rovers
- Sligo Rovers0-0Derry City
- Derry City2-1Sligo Rovers
- Derry City1-0Sligo Rovers
- Sligo Rovers2-0Derry City
- Derry City3-0Sligo Rovers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Derry City (rating 1407 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Derry City: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sligo Rovers | Derry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sligo Rovers 1–1–4 Derry City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Derry City | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 06/04/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Derry City |
| 06/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Derry City | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sligo Rovers |
| 05/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Derry City | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sligo Rovers |
| 12/07/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Sligo Rovers | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Derry City |
| 22/04/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Derry City | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sligo Rovers |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 68 |
| 2 | Bohemians Dublin | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 42 | 62 |
| 3 | St Patricks | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 28 | 60 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 47 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 45 | 47 |
| 6 | Galway United | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 51 | 42 |
| 7 | Dundalk | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | 42 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 59 | 40 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 57 | 37 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 64 | 24 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sligo Rovers | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | 0-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Dundalk | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Shelbourne | 1-5 L | 1-0 W |
| St Patricks | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Galway United | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Drogheda United | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Bohemians Dublin | 0-3 L | 3-5 L |
| Waterford FC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 6 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Derry City (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sligo Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 09/10 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Derry City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 19/10 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/10 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 21/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Derry City win (52%). Probabilities: Sligo Rovers 21%, draw 27%, Derry City 52%.
How many goals are expected in Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Sligo Rovers 0.98 · Derry City 1.67), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.