Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 30/10, 20:45
Prediction: Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers
Team pages: Dundalk · Shamrock Rovers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Dundalk1.53
Shamrock Rovers1.61
1X2
Dundalk
Draw
Shamrock Rovers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Dundalk
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Shamrock Rovers
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dundalk
2–1–3
Shamrock Rovers
(6 last)
- Shamrock Rovers3-2Dundalk
- Dundalk1-0Shamrock Rovers
- Shamrock Rovers1-1Dundalk
- Shamrock Rovers0-4Dundalk
- Dundalk0-1Shamrock Rovers
- Shamrock Rovers1-0Dundalk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shamrock Rovers (rating 1448 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Shamrock Rovers: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dundalk | Shamrock Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.5 | 3.2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dundalk 2–1–3 Shamrock Rovers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shamrock Rovers | 3-2 HT 3-2 | Dundalk |
| 15/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shamrock Rovers |
| 23/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shamrock Rovers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Dundalk |
| 07/02/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup | Shamrock Rovers | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Dundalk |
| 27/10/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shamrock Rovers |
| 04/07/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shamrock Rovers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dundalk |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 35 | 68 |
| 2 | Bohemians Dublin | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 42 | 62 |
| 3 | St Patricks | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 28 | 60 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 47 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 45 | 47 |
| 6 | Galway United | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 51 | 42 |
| 7 | Dundalk | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | 42 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 59 | 40 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 57 | 37 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 64 | 24 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dundalk | Shamrock Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Derry City | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Sligo Rovers | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Bohemians Dublin | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Shelbourne | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| St Patricks | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Waterford FC | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Drogheda United | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Galway United | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Shamrock Rovers (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dundalk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 02/10 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 28/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 31/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
Shamrock Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/10 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/10 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/10 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 07/08 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shamrock Rovers win (39%). Probabilities: Dundalk 35%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 39%.
How many goals are expected in Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Dundalk 1.53 · Shamrock Rovers 1.61), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.