Football · Argentina Nacional B · 03/10, 22:00

Prediction: Acassuso vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Team pages: Acassuso · Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.85Total

Acassuso1.04

Club Ciudad de Bolivar0.81

1X2

39% 33% 27%

Acassuso Draw Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Acassuso 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Club Ciudad de Bolivar 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Acassuso 0–1 Club Ciudad de Bolivar (1 last)

Club Ciudad de Bolivar1-0Acassuso

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Acassuso 1461 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 1484

	Acassuso	Draw	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Our model	39%	35%	27%
Market	40%	32%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Acassuso	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.4	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.5	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X2.88

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:02 +26’	2.30	2.88	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Acassuso 0–0–1 Club Ciudad de Bolivar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	1-0 HT 0-0	Acassuso

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	30	17	7	6	35	25	58
2	Deportivo Moron	30	16	7	7	48	29	55
3	Godoy Cruz	30	15	7	8	38	26	52
4	Deportivo Madryn	31	13	11	7	44	28	50
5	Colon	31	13	10	8	38	25	49
6	Almirante Brown	31	12	10	9	23	18	46
7	CA Estudiantes Caseros	31	12	9	10	29	26	45
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	31	10	12	9	26	28	42
9	Los Andes	30	8	13	9	22	20	37
10	CA Chaco For Ever	31	9	9	13	28	31	36
11	Defensores de Belgrano	30	8	12	10	23	26	36
12	Racing de Cordoba	30	9	8	13	26	36	35
13	All Boys	31	6	15	10	17	26	33
14	Central Norte	31	6	14	11	19	28	32
15	Club Atletico Mitre	30	6	14	10	27	37	32
16	CA San Miguel	31	6	13	12	25	36	31
17	CA San Telmo	30	7	10	13	23	34	31
18	Acassuso	31	7	8	16	22	34	29

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Acassuso	Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Almirante Brown	1-0 W	0-2 L
Club Atletico Mitre	2-0 W	0-2 L
CA Estudiantes Caseros	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Acassuso (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Acassuso

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
19/09	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
13/09	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
05/09	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
01/09	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	11	5	D
26/08	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	7	8	L
21/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
14/08	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
09/08	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	1-3	1-4	2	9	L
01/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-1	2	7	D

Club Ciudad de Bolivar

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
19/09	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
12/09	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
06/09	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-3	3	10	L
29/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
23/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
15/08	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	8	10	L
08/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
02/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
25/07	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	2-1	2-1	1	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Acassuso vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Acassuso win (39%). Probabilities: Acassuso 39%, draw 33%, Club Ciudad de Bolivar 27%.

How many goals are expected in Acassuso vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

The model expects 1.85 goals (Acassuso 1.04 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 0.81), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Acassuso vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.