Football · Argentina Nacional B · 03/10, 22:00
Prediction: CA San Telmo vs Almirante Brown
Team pages: CA San Telmo · Almirante Brown
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.56Total
CA San Telmo0.75
Almirante Brown0.81
1X2
CA San Telmo
Draw
Almirante Brown
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 22%
Recent form · 10 last
CA San Telmo
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Almirante Brown
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA San Telmo
1–2–3
Almirante Brown
(6 last)
- Almirante Brown0-0CA San Telmo
- Almirante Brown1-0CA San Telmo
- CA San Telmo0-1Almirante Brown
- CA San Telmo0-1Almirante Brown
- Almirante Brown0-0CA San Telmo
- CA San Telmo3-1Almirante Brown
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA San Telmo 1496 · Almirante Brown 1510
| CA San Telmo | Draw | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 38% | 32% |
| Market | 32% | 33% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.56 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Almirante Brown: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA San Telmo | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA San Telmo 1–2–3 Almirante Brown
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA San Telmo |
| 08/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA San Telmo |
| 03/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 05/10/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 20/05/24 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA San Telmo |
| 10/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Telmo | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Almirante Brown |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 50 |
| 5 | Colon | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 25 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 29 | 26 | 45 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26 | 28 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 37 |
| 10 | CA Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 33 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Club Atletico Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 32 |
| 16 | CA San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 36 | 31 |
| 17 | CA San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 34 | 29 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA San Telmo | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Mitre | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Acassuso | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA San Telmo (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA San Telmo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Almirante Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: CA San Telmo 31%, draw 36%, Almirante Brown 34%.
How many goals are expected in CA San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?
The model expects 1.56 goals (CA San Telmo 0.75 · Almirante Brown 0.81), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA San Telmo vs Almirante Brown?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.