Football · Argentina Nacional B · 03/10, 22:00
Prediction: Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes
Team pages: Tristan Suarez · Quilmes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Tristan Suarez1.11
Quilmes0.82
1X2
Tristan Suarez
Draw
Quilmes
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Suarez
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Quilmes
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Suarez
3–1–2
Quilmes
(6 last)
- Quilmes0-1Tristan Suarez
- Quilmes0-1Tristan Suarez
- Tristan Suarez0-0Quilmes
- Quilmes0-1Tristan Suarez
- Tristan Suarez1-3Quilmes
- Quilmes5-1Tristan Suarez
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Suarez 1584 · Quilmes 1472
| Tristan Suarez | Draw | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Market | 41% | 33% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.92 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan Suarez (rating 1584 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Tristan Suarez: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tristan Suarez | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Suarez 3–1–2 Quilmes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tristan Suarez |
| 04/10/25 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 31/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Quilmes |
| 02/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tristan Suarez |
| 14/04/24 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Quilmes |
| 30/09/23 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Tristan Suarez |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 54 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 53 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 49 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin SJ | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 45 |
| 8 | CA Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 31 | 43 |
| 9 | Atletico Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 42 |
| 10 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 31 | 41 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 27 | 38 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 33 | 30 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 53 | 23 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tristan Suarez | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin SJ | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Suarez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/09 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 16/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 11 | L |
| 12/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 07/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tristan Suarez win (41%). Probabilities: Tristan Suarez 41%, draw 33%, Quilmes 26%.
How many goals are expected in Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Tristan Suarez 1.11 · Quilmes 0.82), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.