Football · Argentina Nacional B · 03/10, 22:00
Prediction: Agropecuario vs Ferrocarril Midland
Team pages: Agropecuario · Ferrocarril Midland
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
Agropecuario1.06
Ferrocarril Midland1.06
1X2
Agropecuario
Draw
Ferrocarril Midland
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Agropecuario
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Ferrocarril Midland
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Agropecuario
0–1
Ferrocarril Midland
(1 last)
- Ferrocarril Midland2-0Agropecuario
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Agropecuario 1504 · Ferrocarril Midland 1517
| Agropecuario | Draw | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | 34% | 33% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Agropecuario | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.2 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Agropecuario 0–0–1 Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Ferrocarril Midland | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Agropecuario |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 54 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 53 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 49 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin SJ | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 45 |
| 8 | CA Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 31 | 43 |
| 9 | Atletico Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 42 |
| 10 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 31 | 41 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 27 | 38 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 33 | 30 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 53 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Agropecuario | Ferrocarril Midland |
|---|---|---|
| CA Guemes | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| San Martin SJ | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Nueva Chicago | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Agropecuario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 15 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/09 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 22/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 17/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 03/09 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Agropecuario vs Ferrocarril Midland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Agropecuario win (34%). Probabilities: Agropecuario 34%, draw 33%, Ferrocarril Midland 34%.
How many goals are expected in Agropecuario vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model expects 2.12 goals (Agropecuario 1.06 · Ferrocarril Midland 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Agropecuario vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.