Football · Argentina Nacional B · 03/10, 22:00

Prediction: CA San Miguel vs Club Atletico Mitre

Team pages: CA San Miguel · Club Atletico Mitre

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

CA San Miguel1.09

Club Atletico Mitre0.98

1X2

36% 33% 31%

CA San Miguel Draw Club Atletico Mitre

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CA San Miguel 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLDDL

Club Atletico Mitre 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDLDDDLL

Head-to-head

CA San Miguel 0–1 Club Atletico Mitre (1 last)

Club Atletico Mitre4-0CA San Miguel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA San Miguel 1425 · Club Atletico Mitre 1490

	CA San Miguel	Draw	Club Atletico Mitre
Our model	36%	33%	31%
Market	36%	33%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Atletico Mitre (rating 1425 vs 1490).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA San Miguel	Club Atletico Mitre
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X2.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 1.752.00

Under 1.751.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
02:03 +10’	2.55	2.75	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA San Miguel 0–0–1 Club Atletico Mitre

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Club Atletico Mitre	4-0 HT 1-0	CA San Miguel

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	30	17	7	6	35	25	58
2	Deportivo Moron	30	16	7	7	48	29	55
3	Godoy Cruz	30	15	7	8	38	26	52
4	Deportivo Madryn	31	13	11	7	44	28	50
5	Colon	31	13	10	8	38	25	49
6	Almirante Brown	31	12	10	9	23	18	46
7	CA Estudiantes Caseros	31	12	9	10	29	26	45
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	31	10	12	9	26	28	42
9	Los Andes	30	8	13	9	22	20	37
10	CA Chaco For Ever	31	9	9	13	28	31	36
11	Defensores de Belgrano	30	8	12	10	23	26	36
12	Racing de Cordoba	30	9	8	13	26	36	35
13	All Boys	31	6	15	10	17	26	33
14	Central Norte	31	6	14	11	19	28	32
15	Club Atletico Mitre	30	6	14	10	27	37	32
16	CA San Miguel	31	6	13	12	25	36	31
17	CA San Telmo	30	7	10	13	23	34	31
18	Acassuso	31	7	8	16	22	34	29

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA San Miguel	Club Atletico Mitre
CA Chaco For Ever	0-3 L	0-0 D
CA San Telmo	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA San Miguel

LLWLLLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
19/09	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
13/09	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
06/09	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-2	5	6	L
30/08	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
26/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-3	5	3	L
22/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
15/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
09/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
02/08	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	7	4	L

Club Atletico Mitre

DWWDLDDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
19/09	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	4	0	L
13/09	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
05/09	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
30/08	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-2	6	2	D
22/08	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-4	4	2	L
15/08	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
09/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	1-1	2-1	4	7	W
02/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
26/07	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	8	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA San Miguel vs Club Atletico Mitre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA San Miguel win (36%). Probabilities: CA San Miguel 36%, draw 33%, Club Atletico Mitre 31%.

How many goals are expected in CA San Miguel vs Club Atletico Mitre?

The model expects 2.07 goals (CA San Miguel 1.09 · Club Atletico Mitre 0.98), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA San Miguel vs Club Atletico Mitre?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.