Football · Argentina Nacional B · 03/10, 22:00

Prediction: Central Norte vs Racing de Cordoba

Team pages: Central Norte · Racing de Cordoba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.76Total

Central Norte1.09

Racing de Cordoba0.68

1X2

44% 34% 22%

Central Norte Draw Racing de Cordoba

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Central Norte 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWDDDDLD

Racing de Cordoba 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDWLLL

Head-to-head

Central Norte 1–2–3 Racing de Cordoba (6 last)

Racing de Cordoba1-2Central Norte
Racing de Cordoba1-0Central Norte
Racing de Cordoba1-0Central Norte
Central Norte0-1Racing de Cordoba
Racing de Cordoba1-1Central Norte
Central Norte0-0Racing de Cordoba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central Norte 1517 · Racing de Cordoba 1460

	Central Norte	Draw	Racing de Cordoba
Our model	44%	35%	21%
Market	45%	33%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 1.76 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Central Norte (rating 1517 vs 1460).
H2H favours Racing de Cordoba: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central Norte	Racing de Cordoba
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X2.80

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.75

2 (+0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.88

Under 1.751.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:47 +31’	2.05	2.80	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Norte 1–2–3 Racing de Cordoba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Racing de Cordoba	1-2 HT 0-1	Central Norte
30/10/22 Argentina Torneo A	Racing de Cordoba	1-0 HT 0-0	Central Norte
18/09/22 Argentina Torneo A	Racing de Cordoba	1-0 HT 1-0	Central Norte
12/06/22 Argentina Torneo A	Central Norte	0-1 HT 0-0	Racing de Cordoba
10/10/21 Argentina Torneo A	Racing de Cordoba	1-1 HT 0-0	Central Norte
11/07/21 Argentina Torneo A	Central Norte	0-0 HT 0-0	Racing de Cordoba

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	30	17	7	6	35	25	58
2	Deportivo Moron	30	16	7	7	48	29	55
3	Godoy Cruz	30	15	7	8	38	26	52
4	Deportivo Madryn	31	13	11	7	44	28	50
5	Colon	31	13	10	8	38	25	49
6	Almirante Brown	31	12	10	9	23	18	46
7	CA Estudiantes Caseros	31	12	9	10	29	26	45
8	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	31	10	12	9	26	28	42
9	Los Andes	30	8	13	9	22	20	37
10	CA Chaco For Ever	31	9	9	13	28	31	36
11	Defensores de Belgrano	30	8	12	10	23	26	36
12	Racing de Cordoba	30	9	8	13	26	36	35
13	All Boys	31	6	15	10	17	26	33
14	Central Norte	31	6	14	11	19	28	32
15	Club Atletico Mitre	30	6	14	10	27	37	32
16	CA San Miguel	31	6	13	12	25	36	31
17	CA San Telmo	30	7	10	13	23	34	31
18	Acassuso	31	7	8	16	22	34	29

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central Norte	Racing de Cordoba
Deportivo Madryn	0-0 D	0-2 L
Defensores de Belgrano	0-1 L	0-3 L
Club Ciudad de Bolivar	0-0 D	1-1 D
Almirante Brown	0-0 D	0-2 L
Club Atletico Mitre	2-2 D	0-1 L
Deportivo Moron	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 5 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Central Norte (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central Norte

WDDWDDDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
20/09	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
12/09	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
06/09	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
30/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-2	2-2	5	2	D
27/08	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
23/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	12	4	W
16/08	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
10/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
02/08	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

Racing de Cordoba

LWLWDDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
13/09	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
04/09	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
30/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
23/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
16/08	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
09/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
02/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
26/07	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
17/07	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central Norte vs Racing de Cordoba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Norte win (44%). Probabilities: Central Norte 44%, draw 34%, Racing de Cordoba 22%.

How many goals are expected in Central Norte vs Racing de Cordoba?

The model expects 1.76 goals (Central Norte 1.09 · Racing de Cordoba 0.68), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Central Norte vs Racing de Cordoba?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.