Football · Australia SA Premier League Women · 07/08, 12:45

Prediction: Modbury Vista (W) vs West Torrens Birkalla (W)

Team pages: Modbury Vista (W) · West Torrens Birkalla (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

Modbury Vista (W)1.4

West Torrens Birkalla (W)2.24

1X2

23% 21% 56%

Modbury Vista (W) Draw West Torrens Birkalla (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Modbury Vista (W) 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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West Torrens Birkalla (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWLDLW

Head-to-head

Modbury Vista (W) 0–2–1 West Torrens Birkalla (W) (3 last)

West Torrens Birkalla (W)3-1Modbury Vista (W)
West Torrens Birkalla (W)1-1Modbury Vista (W)
Modbury Vista (W)1-1West Torrens Birkalla (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Modbury Vista (W) 1435 · West Torrens Birkalla (W) 1517

	Modbury Vista (W)	Draw	West Torrens Birkalla (W)
Our model	23%	22%	56%
Market	24%	20%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Torrens Birkalla (W) (rating 1435 vs 1517).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Modbury Vista (W)	West Torrens Birkalla (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.8	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.5	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	1.4 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	1.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.75

X4.50

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 17:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 3.75▼	Bet365 3.75
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.60
2	1.50 → 1.57▲	Pinn 1.75 ★

See the full journey (7)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:30 +18’	4.50	4.50	1.50
05:52 +6’	4.10▼	4.50	1.55▲
06:44 +4’	4.50▲	4.50	1.50▼
07:27 +1’	4.10▼	4.50	1.55▲
12:04 +8’	4.10	4.50	1.53▼
15:40 +5’	4.50▲	4.75▲	1.45▼
17:08 +2’	3.75▼	4.50▼	1.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:32 +1’	2.97	4.60	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Modbury Vista (W) 0–2–1 West Torrens Birkalla (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Australia SA Premier League Women	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Modbury Vista (W)
07/08/22 Australia SA Premier League Women	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Modbury Vista (W)
13/05/22 Australia SA Premier League Women	Modbury Vista (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	West Torrens Birkalla (W)

Standings · Australia SA Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	West Adelaide (W)	17	16	0	1	59	9	48
2	Salisbury Inter (W)	17	10	5	2	56	19	35
3	Adelaide Comets (W)	17	10	3	4	52	23	33
4	West Torrens Birkalla (W)	17	10	3	4	31	21	33
5	Campbelltown City (W)	17	8	4	5	40	23	28
6	Ffsa Ntc Women	17	7	2	8	23	33	23
7	Adelaide University (W)	17	5	3	9	26	38	18
8	MetroStars (W)	17	4	0	13	24	49	12
9	Modbury Vista (W)	17	2	5	10	24	46	11
10	Flinders United (W)	17	0	1	16	8	82	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Modbury Vista (W)	West Torrens Birkalla (W)
Campbelltown City (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
Adelaide University (W)	0-3 L	3-1 W
West Adelaide (W)	0-3 L	1-5 L
Salisbury Inter (W)	2-2 D	2-2 D
MetroStars (W)	4-5 L	2-0 W
Adelaide Comets (W)	0-4 L	1-1 D
Ffsa Ntc Women	0-2 L	1-0 W
Flinders United (W)	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: West Torrens Birkalla (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Modbury Vista (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-2	2-2	6	0	D
24/07	Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	0-3	7	0	L
17/07	West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-3	0-3	2	0	L
04/07	Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-1	2-2	1	0	D
27/06	MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-2	4-5	7	2	L
20/06	Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
15/06	Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
30/05	Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
22/05	West Torrens Birkalla (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-2	1-3	6	0	L
08/05	Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-2	3-3	4	1	D

West Torrens Birkalla (W)

WWLWDWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Adelaide University (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	3-0	3-1	4	1	W
24/07	West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-2	1-5	2	1	L
18/07	Salisbury Inter (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	2-2	3	1	D
11/07	West Adelaide (W) Australia SA Cup Women	1-0	1-2	0	2	L
04/07	MetroStars (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
26/06	Adelaide Comets (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
17/06	Flinders United (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	7	1	W
13/06	Campbelltown City (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	0	4	L
31/05	Ffsa Ntc Women Australia SA Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
22/05	Modbury Vista (W) Australia SA Premier League Women	2-0	3-1	0	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Modbury Vista (W) vs West Torrens Birkalla (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an West Torrens Birkalla (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Modbury Vista (W) 23%, draw 21%, West Torrens Birkalla (W) 56%.

How many goals are expected in Modbury Vista (W) vs West Torrens Birkalla (W)?

The model expects 3.64 goals (Modbury Vista (W) 1.4 · West Torrens Birkalla (W) 2.24), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Modbury Vista (W) vs West Torrens Birkalla (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.