Football · Estonia Meistriliiga Women · 26/09, 11:30

Prediction: Viimsi JK (W) vs Harju JK Laagri (W)

Team pages: Viimsi JK (W) · Harju JK Laagri (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

Viimsi JK (W)2.46

Harju JK Laagri (W)1.35

1X2

61% 20% 19%

Viimsi JK (W) Draw Harju JK Laagri (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Viimsi JK (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Harju JK Laagri (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Viimsi JK (W) 0–1–1 Harju JK Laagri (W) (2 last)

Viimsi JK (W)0-2Harju JK Laagri (W)
Harju JK Laagri (W)0-0Viimsi JK (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viimsi JK (W) 1470 · Harju JK Laagri (W) 1463

	Viimsi JK (W)	Draw	Harju JK Laagri (W)
Our model	61%	20%	19%
Market	61%	20%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viimsi JK (W)	Harju JK Laagri (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2	1.6 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.3	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	1.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 03:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.48▲	Bet365 1.48
X	5.00 → 4.50▼	Pinn 5.10 ★
2	6.00 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.8% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:05 +7’	1.33	5.00	6.00
22:51 +4’	1.36▲	5.00	5.50▼
03:41 +12’	1.48▲	4.50▼	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:31 +33’	1.46	4.80	4.25
07:44 +34’	1.45▼	4.92▲	4.29▲
09:31 +10’	1.45▲	5.10▲	4.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viimsi JK (W) 0–1–1 Harju JK Laagri (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/08/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	Viimsi JK (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Harju JK Laagri (W)
25/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	Harju JK Laagri (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Viimsi JK (W)

Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	19	12	3	4	55	23	39
2	Paide Linnameeskond (W)	19	13	0	6	54	30	39
3	Saku Sporting (W)	19	10	2	7	51	42	32
4	Viimsi JK (W)	19	9	3	7	41	31	30
5	Harju JK Laagri (W)	19	4	3	12	30	52	15
6	FC Elva (W)	19	3	1	15	25	78	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viimsi JK (W)	Harju JK Laagri (W)
FC Elva (W)	9-1 W	6-0 W
Saku Sporting (W)	0-4 L	1-1 D
FC Flora Tallinn (W)	1-3 L	0-5 L
Paide Linnanaiskond (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Viimsi JK (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Viimsi JK (W)

WWDLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	2-0	9-1	6	0	W
12/09	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-1	0-4	2	6	L
06/09	FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
29/08	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
20/08	Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
15/08	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
09/08	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	1-2	1-3	4	0	L
01/08	FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
26/07	FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	3-3	5-3	5	1	W
18/07	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	3-1	4-1	1	2	W

Harju JK Laagri (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-2	0-5	1	2	L
12/09	FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	1-0	6-0	8	1	W
05/09	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-1	0-3	6	0	L
02/09	FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-4	1-5	4	2	L
29/08	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Esiliiga Women	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
20/08	Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
12/08	FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
08/08	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-2	2-4	5	1	L
01/08	Paide Linnameeskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-2	0-5	2	0	L
23/07	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-2	1-2	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viimsi JK (W) vs Harju JK Laagri (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viimsi JK (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Viimsi JK (W) 61%, draw 20%, Harju JK Laagri (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Viimsi JK (W) vs Harju JK Laagri (W)?

The model expects 3.82 goals (Viimsi JK (W) 2.46 · Harju JK Laagri (W) 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Viimsi JK (W) vs Harju JK Laagri (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.