Football · Estonia Meistriliiga Women · 03/10, 11:00

Prediction: FC Flora Tallinn (W) vs Harju JK Laagri (W)

Team pages: FC Flora Tallinn (W) · Harju JK Laagri (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.42Total

FC Flora Tallinn (W)3.21

Harju JK Laagri (W)1.21

1X2

85% 9% 6%

FC Flora Tallinn (W) Draw Harju JK Laagri (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Flora Tallinn (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWWLWW

Harju JK Laagri (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWDLLWLL

Head-to-head

FC Flora Tallinn (W) 3–1–0 Harju JK Laagri (W) (4 last)

Harju JK Laagri (W)0-5FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Harju JK Laagri (W)1-5FC Flora Tallinn (W)
FC Flora Tallinn (W)2-2Harju JK Laagri (W)
FC Flora Tallinn (W)2-0Harju JK Laagri (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Flora Tallinn (W) 1572 · Harju JK Laagri (W) 1450

	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	Draw	Harju JK Laagri (W)
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	93%	5%	3%

Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Flora Tallinn (W) (rating 1572 vs 1450).
H2H favours FC Flora Tallinn (W): 3-1-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	Harju JK Laagri (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1	1.6 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.7 / 8	1.6 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.02

X21.00

234.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4)1.93

2 (+4)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.82

Under 4.751.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02
X	21.00 → 21.00	Bet365 21.00
2	34.00 → 34.00	Bet365 34.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:21 +2’	1.02	21.00	34.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Flora Tallinn (W) 3–1–0 Harju JK Laagri (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	Harju JK Laagri (W)	0-5 HT 0-2	FC Flora Tallinn (W)
02/09/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	Harju JK Laagri (W)	1-5 HT 0-4	FC Flora Tallinn (W)
12/06/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	2-2 HT 2-2	Harju JK Laagri (W)
20/03/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Harju JK Laagri (W)

Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	20	13	3	4	60	24	42
2	Paide Linnameeskond (W)	20	14	0	6	63	31	42
3	Viimsi JK (W)	20	10	3	7	44	32	33
4	Saku Sporting (W)	20	10	2	8	52	47	32
5	Harju JK Laagri (W)	20	4	3	13	31	55	15
6	FC Elva (W)	20	3	1	16	26	87	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Flora Tallinn (W)	Harju JK Laagri (W)
Saku Sporting (W)	5-1 W	1-1 D
Paide Linnameeskond (W)	1-2 L	0-5 L
Viimsi JK (W)	3-1 W	1-3 L
Paide Linnanaiskond (W)	4-2 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Flora Tallinn (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Flora Tallinn (W)

LDWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	2-0	5-1	12	6	W
20/09	Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	2-0	5-0	12	2	W
12/09	Paide Linnameeskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	1-2	1-2	9	1	L
06/09	Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	2-0	3-1	6	6	W
02/09	Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	4-0	5-1	9	2	W
20/08	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	2-0	11	1	W
15/08	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	3-0	4-2	5	2	W
05/08	Paide Linnameeskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-1	2-1	3	0	W
01/08	Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
18/06	Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	1-1	1-2	6	3	L

Harju JK Laagri (W)

LLWWDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-2	1-3	3	1	L
20/09	FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-2	0-5	1	2	L
12/09	FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	1-0	6-0	8	1	W
05/09	Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-1	0-3	6	0	L
02/09	FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-4	1-5	4	2	L
29/08	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Esiliiga Women	1-0	1-1	5	1	D
20/08	Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
12/08	FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
08/08	Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-2	2-4	5	1	L
01/08	Paide Linnameeskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women	0-2	0-5	2	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Flora Tallinn (W) vs Harju JK Laagri (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Flora Tallinn (W) win (85%). Probabilities: FC Flora Tallinn (W) 85%, draw 9%, Harju JK Laagri (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in FC Flora Tallinn (W) vs Harju JK Laagri (W)?

The model expects 4.42 goals (FC Flora Tallinn (W) 3.21 · Harju JK Laagri (W) 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Flora Tallinn (W) vs Harju JK Laagri (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.