Football · Estonia Meistriliiga Women · 26/09, 14:00
Prediction: Saku Sporting (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Team pages: Saku Sporting (W) · FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.52Total
Saku Sporting (W)1.52
FC Flora Tallinn (W)3
1X2
Saku Sporting (W)
Draw
FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-3 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Saku Sporting (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
FC Flora Tallinn (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Saku Sporting (W)
2–1–3
FC Flora Tallinn (W)
(6 last)
- FC Flora Tallinn (W)2-0Saku Sporting (W)
- Saku Sporting (W)1-5FC Flora Tallinn (W)
- Saku Sporting (W)1-1FC Flora Tallinn (W)
- FC Flora Tallinn (W)3-4Saku Sporting (W)
- FC Flora Tallinn (W)0-1Saku Sporting (W)
- Saku Sporting (W)1-6FC Flora Tallinn (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Saku Sporting (W) 1532 · FC Flora Tallinn (W) 1552
| Saku Sporting (W) | Draw | FC Flora Tallinn (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| Market | 16% | 17% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.52 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Flora Tallinn (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Saku Sporting (W) | FC Flora Tallinn (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.7 | 4.1 / 7.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Saku Sporting (W) 2–1–3 FC Flora Tallinn (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | FC Flora Tallinn (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Saku Sporting (W) |
| 30/05/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Saku Sporting (W) | 1-5 HT 0-3 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) |
| 28/04/26 Estonia Cup Women | Saku Sporting (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) |
| 05/04/26 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | FC Flora Tallinn (W) | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Saku Sporting (W) |
| 13/03/26 Estonia Super Cup Women | FC Flora Tallinn (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Saku Sporting (W) |
| 15/11/25 Estonia Meistriliiga Women | Saku Sporting (W) | 1-6 HT 0-4 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) |
Standings · Estonia Meistriliiga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Paide Linnameeskond (W) | 19 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 54 | 30 | 39 |
| 3 | Saku Sporting (W) | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 51 | 42 | 32 |
| 4 | Viimsi JK (W) | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 30 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri (W) | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 52 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Elva (W) | 19 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 78 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Saku Sporting (W) | FC Flora Tallinn (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Paide Linnameeskond (W) | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Viimsi JK (W) | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Harju JK Laagri (W) | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Flora Tallinn (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Saku Sporting (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Paide Linnameeskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Esiliiga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 23/08 | FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/08 | FC Flora Tallinn (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-0 | 4-2 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | FC Elva (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
6-2 | 8-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Paide Linnameeskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
3-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
FC Flora Tallinn (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Paide Linnameeskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/09 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 20/08 | Saku Sporting (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Paide Linnanaiskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
3-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/08 | Paide Linnameeskond (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/06 | Viimsi JK (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Harju JK Laagri (W) Estonia Meistriliiga Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Saku Sporting (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Flora Tallinn (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Saku Sporting (W) 16%, draw 17%, FC Flora Tallinn (W) 67%.
How many goals are expected in Saku Sporting (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)?
The model expects 4.52 goals (Saku Sporting (W) 1.52 · FC Flora Tallinn (W) 3), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Saku Sporting (W) vs FC Flora Tallinn (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.