Prediction: Clarence Zebras Reserves vs Taroona
Expected goals: 4.78 (Clarence Zebras Reserves 1.75 · Taroona 3.03). The model gives 20% home, 16% draw, 63% away. Under 5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 1-3.
On recent form, Clarence Zebras Reserves is 4-1-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Taroona 5-3-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Clarence Zebras Reserves and 6 for Taroona.
| Clarence Zebras Reserves | Draw | Taroona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| Market | 21% | 16% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taroona (rating 1476 vs 1555).
- H2H favours Taroona: 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Clarence Zebras Reserves | Taroona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 2.3 | 3.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Clarence Zebras Reserves 0–0–6 Taroona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Australia Tasmania Championship | Taroona | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Clarence Zebras Reserves |
| 02/08/25 Australia Tasmania Championship | Taroona | 9-2 HT 7-1 | Clarence Zebras Reserves |
| 24/05/25 Australia Tasmania Championship | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 2-11 HT 1-6 | Taroona |
| 14/06/24 Australia Tasmania Championship | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Taroona |
| 13/08/22 Australia Tasmania Championship | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Taroona |
| 14/05/22 Australia Tasmania Championship | Taroona | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Clarence Zebras Reserves |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Town Eagles | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | South Hobart FC 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 22 |
| 3 | Olympia FC Warriors | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 22 |
| 4 | Hobart City FC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 22 |
| 5 | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 19 |
| 6 | Taroona | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Hobart United | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 58 | 8 |
| 8 | University of Tasmania | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 48 | 7 |
| 9 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 5 |
| 10 | South East United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Clarence Zebras Reserves | Taroona |
|---|---|---|
| Glenorchy Knights Reserves | 8-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Hobart United | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| University of Tasmania | 1-4 L | 10-0 W |
| South Hobart FC 2 | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Olympia FC Warriors | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| New Town Eagles | 1-6 L | 1-0 W |
| Hobart City FC | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Taroona (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clarence Zebras Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
5-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Olympia FC Warriors Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-3 | 1-6 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Taroona Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
Taroona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship |
6-0 | 10-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Olympia FC Warriors Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Clarence Zebras Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
4-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clarence Zebras Reserves vs Taroona?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Taroona win (63%). Probabilities: Clarence Zebras Reserves 20%, draw 16%, Taroona 63%.
How many goals are expected in Clarence Zebras Reserves vs Taroona?
The model expects 4.78 goals (Clarence Zebras Reserves 1.75 · Taroona 3.03), with a 54% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in Clarence Zebras Reserves vs Taroona?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.