Football · Australia Tasmania Championship · 18/07, 04:15
Prediction: Taroona vs Olympia FC Warriors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.12Total
Taroona2.2
Olympia FC Warriors1.92
1X2
Taroona
Draw
Olympia FC Warriors
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Taroona
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Olympia FC Warriors
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Taroona
4–2
Olympia FC Warriors
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taroona 1531 · Olympia FC Warriors 1559
| Taroona | Draw | Olympia FC Warriors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| Market | 45% | 21% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.12 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Taroona: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Taroona | Olympia FC Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.5 | 2.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.6 | 3.3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taroona 4–0–2 Olympia FC Warriors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Australia Tasmania Championship | Olympia FC Warriors | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Taroona |
| 22/08/25 Australia Tasmania Championship | Olympia FC Warriors | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Taroona |
| 28/06/25 Australia Tasmania Championship | Taroona | 5-2 HT 4-1 | Olympia FC Warriors |
| 04/04/25 Australia Tasmania Championship | Olympia FC Warriors | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Taroona |
| 02/08/24 Australia Tasmania Championship | Olympia FC Warriors | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Taroona |
| 13/05/23 Australia Tasmania Championship | Olympia FC Warriors | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Taroona |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart FC 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 20 | 25 |
| 2 | Olympia FC Warriors | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 19 | 25 |
| 3 | Hobart City FC | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 24 | 25 |
| 4 | New Town Eagles | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 23 |
| 5 | Clarence Zebras Reserves | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 30 | 22 |
| 6 | Taroona | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 20 | 18 |
| 7 | Hobart United | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 62 | 8 |
| 8 | University of Tasmania | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 48 | 7 |
| 9 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 47 | 5 |
| 10 | South East United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Taroona | Olympia FC Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Clarence Zebras Reserves | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Hobart United | 1-1 D | 6-0 W |
| Hobart City FC | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| New Town Eagles | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Glenorchy Knights Reserves | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| University of Tasmania | 10-0 W | 4-2 W |
| South Hobart FC 2 | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Olympia FC Warriors (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taroona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Clarence Zebras Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship |
6-0 | 10-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Olympia FC Warriors Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Clarence Zebras Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
4-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
Olympia FC Warriors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/06 | University of Tasmania Australia Tasmania Championship |
4-1 | 4-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | South Hobart FC 2 Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Hobart City FC Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Clarence Zebras Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Hobart United Australia Tasmania Championship |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Taroona Australia Tasmania Championship |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Glenorchy Knights Reserves Australia Tasmania Championship |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/04 | New Town Eagles Australia Tasmania Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taroona vs Olympia FC Warriors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Taroona win (45%). Probabilities: Taroona 45%, draw 21%, Olympia FC Warriors 34%.
How many goals are expected in Taroona vs Olympia FC Warriors?
The model expects 4.12 goals (Taroona 2.2 · Olympia FC Warriors 1.92), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Taroona vs Olympia FC Warriors?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.