Prediction: Pacific FC (CA) vs HFX Wanderers
Expected goals: 3.07 (Pacific FC (CA) 1.43 · HFX Wanderers 1.65). The model gives 32% home, 27% draw, 41% away. Over 2.5 goals (55%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Pacific FC (CA) sits at 0-3-7 (W-D-L), while HFX Wanderers arrives on a 2-1-7 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Pacific FC (CA) and 3 for HFX Wanderers, with 2 draws.
| Pacific FC (CA) | Draw | HFX Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HFX Wanderers (rating 1399 vs 1450).
- H2H favours HFX Wanderers: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pacific FC (CA) | HFX Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.3 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.1 | 2.2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pacific FC (CA) 1–2–3 HFX Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 18/04/26 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 20/09/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 17/08/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 2-2 HT 2-2 | HFX Wanderers |
| 13/07/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 3-2 HT 2-2 | HFX Wanderers |
| 19/04/25 Canada Premier League | HFX Wanderers | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Pacific FC (CA) |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 28 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 5 | Inter Toronto | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Supra du Quebec | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 7 | Vancouver FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pacific FC (CA) | HFX Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Supra du Quebec | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Atletico Ottawa | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Cavalry FC | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Inter Toronto | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Forge FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: HFX Wanderers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pacific FC (CA)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Championships |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
HFX Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 11/06 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Forge FC Canada Championships |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pacific FC (CA) vs HFX Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HFX Wanderers win (41%). Probabilities: Pacific FC (CA) 32%, draw 27%, HFX Wanderers 41%.
How many goals are expected in Pacific FC (CA) vs HFX Wanderers?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Pacific FC (CA) 1.43 · HFX Wanderers 1.65), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pacific FC (CA) vs HFX Wanderers?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.