Prediction: Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto
Expected goals: 2.72 (Vancouver FC 1.45 · Inter Toronto 1.28). The model gives 40% home, 28% draw, 32% away. Over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Vancouver FC sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Inter Toronto arrives on a 3-3-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Vancouver FC and 5 for Inter Toronto.
| Vancouver FC | Draw | Inter Toronto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Inter Toronto: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vancouver FC | Inter Toronto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.9 | 1.3 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver FC 1–0–5 Inter Toronto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vancouver FC |
| 22/09/25 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Inter Toronto |
| 19/07/25 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Vancouver FC |
| 25/05/25 Canada Premier League | Inter Toronto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vancouver FC |
| 07/04/25 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Inter Toronto |
| 07/09/24 Canada Premier League | Vancouver FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Inter Toronto |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forge FC | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 28 |
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 5 | Inter Toronto | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 6 | Supra du Quebec | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 7 | Vancouver FC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vancouver FC | Inter Toronto |
|---|---|---|
| Forge FC | 2-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Pacific FC (CA) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Ottawa | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| HFX Wanderers | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Supra du Quebec | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Cavalry FC | 0-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Vancouver FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 18/05 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Langley United Sa Canada Championships |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
Inter Toronto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CS Saint-Laurent Canada Championships |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vancouver FC win (40%). Probabilities: Vancouver FC 40%, draw 28%, Inter Toronto 32%.
How many goals are expected in Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Vancouver FC 1.45 · Inter Toronto 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vancouver FC vs Inter Toronto?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.