Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 02/08, 16:00

Prediction: FC Rosengård 1917 vs Jonkopings Sodra

Team pages: FC Rosengård 1917 · Jonkopings Sodra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

FC Rosengård 19171.33

Jonkopings Sodra1.17

1X2

40% 28% 32%

FC Rosengård 1917 Draw Jonkopings Sodra

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Rosengård 1917 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Jonkopings Sodra 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLDLL

Head-to-head

FC Rosengård 1917 1–3 Jonkopings Sodra (4 last)

FC Rosengård 19170-1Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra3-0FC Rosengård 1917
FC Rosengård 19170-2Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra1-3FC Rosengård 1917

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Rosengård 1917 1531 · Jonkopings Sodra 1511

	FC Rosengård 1917	Draw	Jonkopings Sodra
Our model	39%	29%	31%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jonkopings Sodra: 3-0-1.
High corners: 14.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Rosengård 1917	Jonkopings Sodra
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.3	4.7 / 8.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:22 +6’	2.20	3.40	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Rosengård 1917 1–0–3 Jonkopings Sodra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Rosengård 1917	0-1 HT 0-1	Jonkopings Sodra
17/05/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Rosengård 1917
13/10/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Rosengård 1917	0-2 HT 0-1	Jonkopings Sodra
27/04/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	1-3 HT 1-1	FC Rosengård 1917

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	14	9	5	0	33	12	32
2	Ariana FC Malmo	14	8	3	3	28	16	27
3	Atvidabergs FF	14	7	5	2	30	18	26
4	Lunds BK	14	7	5	2	26	16	26
5	FC Rosengård 1917	14	6	4	4	23	19	22
6	Hässleholms IF	14	6	3	5	27	22	21
7	Tvååkers IF	14	6	3	5	17	19	21
8	Eskilsminne IF	15	6	2	7	25	28	20
9	BK Olympic	14	6	1	7	22	24	19
10	Jonkopings Sodra	14	5	3	6	20	15	18
11	Angelholm	14	3	7	4	22	22	16
12	Skövde AIK	14	3	7	4	11	20	16
13	Kristianstad FC	15	3	5	7	16	24	14
14	Laholms FK	14	4	1	9	21	29	13
15	FC Trollhättan	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
16	Utsiktens BK	14	1	1	12	10	39	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Rosengård 1917	Jonkopings Sodra
Trelleborgs FF	2-3 L	1-1 D
Skövde AIK	3-0 W	0-1 L
Angelholm	1-2 L	3-0 W
Laholms FK	3-1 W	2-1 W
Tvååkers IF	0-1 L	1-2 L
FC Trollhättan	2-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jonkopings Sodra (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Rosengård 1917

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-3	3-3	6	3	D
18/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	2-3	4	4	L
14/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
08/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	10	5	W
02/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
23/05	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
18/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	5	5	W
13/05	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
09/05	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	14	3	L
02/05	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-0	3	2	W

Jonkopings Sodra

WDWWLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	IFK Skövde FK Sweden Cup Qualification	0-1	0-1	14	6	L
27/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
18/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
13/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
06/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	6	2	W
01/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
24/05	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
17/05	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	11	6	W
14/05	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
10/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Rosengård 1917 vs Jonkopings Sodra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Rosengård 1917 win (40%). Probabilities: FC Rosengård 1917 40%, draw 28%, Jonkopings Sodra 32%.

How many goals are expected in FC Rosengård 1917 vs Jonkopings Sodra?

The model expects 2.5 goals (FC Rosengård 1917 1.33 · Jonkopings Sodra 1.17), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Rosengård 1917 vs Jonkopings Sodra?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.